Cardinia ShirePopulation forecast
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Cardinia Shire

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Cardinia Shire will increase by an average of 1,551 dwellings per annum to 67,154 in 2036.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Cardinia Shire. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2011 to 2036
Cardinia ShireChange in dwellings between 2011 and 2036
Areanumber%
Cardinia Shire+38,782+136.7
Beaconsfield Precinct+495+35.1
Beaconsfield Upper & District+166+11.6
Bunyip+649+80.6
Cardinia Road Employment+2,000+78895.2
Cardinia Road Precinct+7,379+243.4
Cockatoo - Nangana+213+13.1
Emerald - Clematis - Avonsleigh - Menzies Creek+332+12.9
Garfield+607+97.5
Gembrook+260+33.4
Koo Wee Rup+995+88.0
Lang Lang+569+98.4
Nar Nar Goon - Tynong area+224+41.6
Northern Rural+294+22.8
Officer Precinct+11,912+1854.0
Pakenham Balance+80+20.0
Pakenham East Precinct+5,522+17560.5
Pakenham Precinct+6,850+66.6
Southern Rural+235+19.9

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2016.

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2036 Total dwellings: 67,154 2035 Total dwellings: 65,921 2034 Total dwellings: 64,639 2033 Total dwellings: 63,308 2032 Total dwellings: 61,948 2031 Total dwellings: 60,525 2030 Total dwellings: 59,068 2029 Total dwellings: 57,537 2028 Total dwellings: 55,962 2027 Total dwellings: 54,368 2026 Total dwellings: 52,766 2025 Total dwellings: 51,106 2024 Total dwellings: 49,404 2023 Total dwellings: 47,702 2022 Total dwellings: 45,962 2021 Total dwellings: 44,158 2020 Total dwellings: 42,358 2019 Total dwellings: 40,581 2018 Total dwellings: 38,852 2017 Total dwellings: 37,219 2016 Total dwellings: 35,674 2015 Total dwellings: 34,289 2014 Total dwellings: 32,840 2013 Total dwellings: 31,496 2012 Total dwellings: 30,012 2036 Total dwellings: 67,154 2035 Total dwellings: 65,921 2034 Total dwellings: 64,639 2033 Total dwellings: 63,308 2032 Total dwellings: 61,948 2031 Total dwellings: 60,525 2030 Total dwellings: 59,068 2029 Total dwellings: 57,537 2028 Total dwellings: 55,962 2027 Total dwellings: 54,368 2026 Total dwellings: 52,766 2025 Total dwellings: 51,106 2024 Total dwellings: 49,404 2023 Total dwellings: 47,702 2022 Total dwellings: 45,962 2021 Total dwellings: 44,158 2020 Total dwellings: 42,358 2019 Total dwellings: 40,581 2018 Total dwellings: 38,852 2017 Total dwellings: 37,219 2016 Total dwellings: 35,674 2015 Total dwellings: 34,289 2014 Total dwellings: 32,840 2013 Total dwellings: 31,496 2012 Total dwellings: 30,012 2036 Forecast development: 1,233 2035 Forecast development: 1,282 2034 Forecast development: 1,331 2033 Forecast development: 1,360 2032 Forecast development: 1,423 2031 Forecast development: 1,457 2030 Forecast development: 1,531 2029 Forecast development: 1,575 2028 Forecast development: 1,594 2027 Forecast development: 1,602 2026 Forecast development: 1,660 2025 Forecast development: 1,702 2024 Forecast development: 1,702 2023 Forecast development: 1,740 2022 Forecast development: 1,804 2021 Forecast development: 1,800 2020 Forecast development: 1,777 2019 Forecast development: 1,729 2018 Forecast development: 1,633 2017 Forecast development: 1,545 2016 Forecast development: 1,385 2015 Forecast development: 1,449 2014 Forecast development: 1,344 2013 Forecast development: 1,484 2012 Forecast development: 1,640
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2016.
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