Cardinia ShirePopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Cardinia Shire

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Cardinia Shire is forecast to grow from 32,844 in 2016 to 57,695 in 2026, with the average household size remaining stable from 2.79 to 2.79 by 2026.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Cardinia Shire. The period 2016 to 2026, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Cardinia ShireForecast year
Summary20162021202620312036
Population89,279111,695135,472157,607175,929
Change in population (5yrs)--22,41723,77622,13618,322
Average annual change--4.58%3.94%3.07%2.22%
Households31,82739,97848,36656,01362,515
Average household size2.792.782.782.792.79
Population in non private dwellings5917259491,2511,565
Dwellings32,84441,32849,93657,69564,324
Dwelling occupancy rate96.9096.7396.8697.0897.19

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast population, households and average household size
Forecast population, households and average household size 2036 Average household size: 2.79 2035 Average household size: 2.79 2034 Average household size: 2.79 2033 Average household size: 2.79 2032 Average household size: 2.79 2031 Average household size: 2.79 2030 Average household size: 2.79 2029 Average household size: 2.79 2028 Average household size: 2.79 2027 Average household size: 2.78 2026 Average household size: 2.78 2025 Average household size: 2.78 2024 Average household size: 2.78 2023 Average household size: 2.78 2022 Average household size: 2.78 2021 Average household size: 2.78 2020 Average household size: 2.78 2019 Average household size: 2.78 2018 Average household size: 2.78 2017 Average household size: 2.78 2016 Average household size: 2.79 2036 Average household size: 2.79 2035 Average household size: 2.79 2034 Average household size: 2.79 2033 Average household size: 2.79 2032 Average household size: 2.79 2031 Average household size: 2.79 2030 Average household size: 2.79 2029 Average household size: 2.79 2028 Average household size: 2.79 2027 Average household size: 2.78 2026 Average household size: 2.78 2025 Average household size: 2.78 2024 Average household size: 2.78 2023 Average household size: 2.78 2022 Average household size: 2.78 2021 Average household size: 2.78 2020 Average household size: 2.78 2019 Average household size: 2.78 2018 Average household size: 2.78 2017 Average household size: 2.78 2036 Households: 62,518 2035 Households: 61,314 2034 Households: 60,062 2033 Households: 58,761 2032 Households: 57,417 2031 Households: 56,014 2030 Households: 54,579 2029 Households: 53,071 2028 Households: 51,511 2027 Households: 49,940 2026 Households: 48,366 2025 Households: 46,737 2024 Households: 45,071 2023 Households: 43,413 2022 Households: 41,722 2021 Households: 39,977 2020 Households: 38,240 2019 Households: 36,525 2018 Households: 34,859 2017 Households: 33,288 2016 Households: 31,823 2036 Total population: 175,929 2035 Total population: 172,653 2034 Total population: 168,909 2033 Total population: 165,300 2032 Total population: 161,553 2031 Total population: 157,607 2030 Total population: 153,530 2029 Total population: 148,939 2028 Total population: 144,475 2027 Total population: 139,978 2026 Total population: 135,472 2025 Total population: 130,889 2024 Total population: 125,964 2023 Total population: 121,355 2022 Total population: 116,570 2021 Total population: 111,695 2020 Total population: 106,946 2019 Total population: 102,089 2018 Total population: 97,560 2017 Total population: 93,279 2016 Total population: 89,279
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the total population of Cardinia Shire was estimated to be 89,279 people. It is expected to increase by over 68,300 people to 157,607 by 2026, at an average annual growth rate of 5.85%. This is based on an increase of over 24,100 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household remaining stable from 2.79 to 2.79 by 2026.

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