Cardinia ShirePopulation forecast
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Cardinia Shire

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Cardinia Shire is forecast to grow from 28,372 in 2011 to 52,766 in 2026, with the average household size falling from 2.81 to 2.77 by 2026.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Cardinia Shire. The period 2011 to 2026, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Cardinia ShireForecast year
Summary201120162021202620312036
Population75,81895,219117,484140,948162,575180,308
Change in population (5yrs)--19,40122,26623,46421,62717,733
Average annual change--4.66%4.29%3.71%2.90%2.09%
Households26,82733,83242,06950,48058,16664,605
Average household size2.812.792.772.772.772.76
Population in non private dwellings5267628961,1201,4221,736
Dwellings28,37235,67444,15852,76660,52567,154
Dwelling occupancy rate94.5594.8495.2795.6796.1096.20

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2016.

Forecast population, households and average household size
Forecast population, households and average household size 2036 Average household size: 2.76 2035 Average household size: 2.77 2034 Average household size: 2.77 2033 Average household size: 2.77 2032 Average household size: 2.77 2031 Average household size: 2.77 2030 Average household size: 2.77 2029 Average household size: 2.77 2028 Average household size: 2.77 2027 Average household size: 2.77 2026 Average household size: 2.77 2025 Average household size: 2.77 2024 Average household size: 2.77 2023 Average household size: 2.77 2022 Average household size: 2.77 2021 Average household size: 2.77 2020 Average household size: 2.78 2019 Average household size: 2.78 2018 Average household size: 2.78 2017 Average household size: 2.79 2016 Average household size: 2.79 2015 Average household size: 2.79 2014 Average household size: 2.80 2013 Average household size: 2.80 2012 Average household size: 2.80 2011 Average household size: 2.81 2036 Average household size: 2.76 2035 Average household size: 2.77 2034 Average household size: 2.77 2033 Average household size: 2.77 2032 Average household size: 2.77 2031 Average household size: 2.77 2030 Average household size: 2.77 2029 Average household size: 2.77 2028 Average household size: 2.77 2027 Average household size: 2.77 2026 Average household size: 2.77 2025 Average household size: 2.77 2024 Average household size: 2.77 2023 Average household size: 2.77 2022 Average household size: 2.77 2021 Average household size: 2.77 2020 Average household size: 2.78 2019 Average household size: 2.78 2018 Average household size: 2.78 2017 Average household size: 2.79 2016 Average household size: 2.79 2015 Average household size: 2.79 2014 Average household size: 2.80 2013 Average household size: 2.80 2012 Average household size: 2.80 2036 Households: 64,605 2035 Households: 63,413 2034 Households: 62,173 2033 Households: 60,886 2032 Households: 59,555 2031 Households: 58,165 2030 Households: 56,738 2029 Households: 55,224 2028 Households: 53,657 2027 Households: 52,068 2026 Households: 50,480 2025 Households: 48,844 2024 Households: 47,174 2023 Households: 45,511 2022 Households: 43,819 2021 Households: 42,071 2020 Households: 40,306 2019 Households: 38,571 2018 Households: 36,890 2017 Households: 35,308 2016 Households: 33,833 2015 Households: 32,503 2014 Households: 31,111 2013 Households: 29,818 2012 Households: 28,383 2011 Households: 26,827 2036 Total population: 180,308 2035 Total population: 177,144 2034 Total population: 173,500 2033 Total population: 170,017 2032 Total population: 166,384 2031 Total population: 162,575 2030 Total population: 158,661 2029 Total population: 154,165 2028 Total population: 149,794 2027 Total population: 145,370 2026 Total population: 140,948 2025 Total population: 136,418 2024 Total population: 131,534 2023 Total population: 126,965 2022 Total population: 122,278 2021 Total population: 117,484 2020 Total population: 112,748 2019 Total population: 107,955 2018 Total population: 103,424 2017 Total population: 99,192 2016 Total population: 95,219 2015 Total population: 91,595 2014 Total population: 87,699 2013 Total population: 84,128 2012 Total population: 80,201 2011 Total population: 75,818
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2016.

Key findings

In 2011, the total population of Cardinia Shire was estimated to be 75,818 people. It is expected to increase by over 65,100 people to 140,948 by 2026, at an average annual growth rate of 4.22%. This is based on an increase of over 23,600 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.81 to 2.77 by 2026.

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