Cardinia ShirePopulation forecast
Skip to content

Cardinia Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2011 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Cardinia Shire indicate a 91.8% increase in population under working age, a 124.5% increase in population of retirement age, and a 77.8% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Cardinia Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Cardinia Shire - Total persons201120262036Change between 2011 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 6,0588.011,8738.415,0668.4+9,007
5 to 9 5,7977.611,4108.114,5688.1+8,771
10 to 14 5,6527.510,2967.313,4307.4+7,778
15 to 19 5,4597.29,2976.612,2526.8+6,793
20 to 24 5,1676.89,4356.712,0806.7+6,913
25 to 29 5,3457.110,4427.412,7727.1+7,426
30 to 34 5,1206.810,8307.713,2687.4+8,148
35 to 39 5,5527.310,4297.413,1097.3+7,558
40 to 44 5,8407.79,5126.712,3276.8+6,487
45 to 49 5,3457.08,5056.010,9746.1+5,630
50 to 54 4,8036.37,7205.59,6495.4+4,846
55 to 59 4,0025.37,0515.08,5684.8+4,566
60 to 64 3,7364.96,3184.57,8114.3+4,075
65 to 69 2,8243.75,3853.86,8833.8+4,059
70 to 74 1,9262.54,4493.25,9503.3+4,023
75 to 79 1,3331.83,5522.54,7972.7+3,464
80 to 84 1,0211.32,3201.63,3691.9+2,348
85 and over8381.12,1231.53,4351.9+2,597
Total persons75,818100.0140,948100.0180,308100.0+104,490

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2016.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 3,435 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 3,369 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 4,797 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 5,950 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 6,883 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 7,811 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 8,568 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 9,649 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 10,974 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 12,327 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 13,109 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 13,268 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 12,772 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 12,080 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 12,252 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 13,430 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 14,568 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 15,066 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 2,123 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 2,320 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 3,552 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 4,449 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 5,385 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 6,318 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 7,051 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 7,720 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 8,505 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 9,512 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 10,429 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 10,830 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 10,442 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 9,435 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 9,297 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 10,296 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 11,410 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 11,873 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011: 838 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011: 1,021 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011: 1,333 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011: 1,926 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011: 2,824 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011: 3,736 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011: 4,002 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011: 4,803 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011: 5,345 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011: 5,840 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011: 5,552 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011: 5,120 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011: 5,345 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011: 5,167 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011: 5,459 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011: 5,652 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011: 5,797 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011: 6,058
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2016.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 1,312 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 1,049 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 1,245 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 1,501 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 1,499 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 1,493 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 1,517 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 1,928 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 2,469 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 2,815 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 2,680 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 2,438 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 2,330 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 2,645 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 2,955 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 3,133 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 3,158 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 3,192 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2026: 1,284 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2026: 1,299 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2026: 2,219 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2026: 2,523 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2026: 2,561 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2026: 2,582 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2026: 3,049 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2026: 2,917 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2026: 3,160 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2026: 3,672 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2026: 4,878 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2026: 5,710 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2026: 5,097 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2026: 4,268 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2026: 3,837 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2026: 4,644 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2026: 5,613 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2026: 5,815
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2016.

Key findings

In 2011, the dominant age structure for persons in Cardinia Shire was ages 0 to 4 , which accounted for 8.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2011 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 0 to 4 , which is expected to increase by 5,815 and account for 8.4% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 0 to 4 years, with a total of 11,873 persons.

v17.08.15-1.0.0