Cardinia ShirePopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Cardinia Shire

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Cardinia Shire is forecast for the period from 2022 to 2026, which is expected to have a net increase of 23,776 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Cardinia ShireForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births--8,41610,57812,66814,509
Deaths--2,5153,0863,6694,193
Natural increase/decrease--5,9007,4928,99910,315
Net migration--16,38216,06012,8357,692
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--134224302314

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 3,276 2035 forecast population change: 3,744 2034 forecast population change: 3,609 2033 forecast population change: 3,747 2032 forecast population change: 3,946 2031 forecast population change: 4,078 2030 forecast population change: 4,591 2029 forecast population change: 4,464 2028 forecast population change: 4,496 2027 forecast population change: 4,507 2026 forecast population change: 4,583 2025 forecast population change: 4,925 2024 forecast population change: 4,609 2023 forecast population change: 4,784 2022 forecast population change: 4,875 2021 forecast population change: 4,749 2020 forecast population change: 4,857 2019 forecast population change: 4,529 2018 forecast population change: 4,281 2017 forecast population change: 4,000
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: 2,151 2035 Natural increase: 2,111 2034 Natural increase: 2,067 2033 Natural increase: 2,020 2032 Natural increase: 1,968 2031 Natural increase: 1,917 2030 Natural increase: 1,862 2029 Natural increase: 1,800 2028 Natural increase: 1,740 2027 Natural increase: 1,679 2026 Natural increase: 1,619 2025 Natural increase: 1,561 2024 Natural increase: 1,502 2023 Natural increase: 1,438 2022 Natural increase: 1,372 2021 Natural increase: 1,308 2020 Natural increase: 1,243 2019 Natural increase: 1,180 2018 Natural increase: 1,116 2017 Natural increase: 1,054 2036 Total deaths: 874 2035 Total deaths: 858 2034 Total deaths: 839 2033 Total deaths: 820 2032 Total deaths: 801 2031 Total deaths: 779 2030 Total deaths: 756 2029 Total deaths: 735 2028 Total deaths: 711 2027 Total deaths: 688 2026 Total deaths: 665 2025 Total deaths: 639 2024 Total deaths: 617 2023 Total deaths: 593 2022 Total deaths: 572 2021 Total deaths: 550 2020 Total deaths: 528 2019 Total deaths: 503 2018 Total deaths: 480 2017 Total deaths: 454 2036 Total births: 3,026 2035 Total births: 2,968 2034 Total births: 2,906 2033 Total births: 2,840 2032 Total births: 2,769 2031 Total births: 2,696 2030 Total births: 2,618 2029 Total births: 2,534 2028 Total births: 2,451 2027 Total births: 2,368 2026 Total births: 2,284 2025 Total births: 2,200 2024 Total births: 2,119 2023 Total births: 2,032 2022 Total births: 1,943 2021 Total births: 1,858 2020 Total births: 1,771 2019 Total births: 1,683 2018 Total births: 1,596 2017 Total births: 1,508 2036 Natural increase: 2,151 2035 Natural increase: 2,111 2034 Natural increase: 2,067 2033 Natural increase: 2,020 2032 Natural increase: 1,968 2031 Natural increase: 1,917 2030 Natural increase: 1,862 2029 Natural increase: 1,800 2028 Natural increase: 1,740 2027 Natural increase: 1,679 2026 Natural increase: 1,619 2025 Natural increase: 1,561 2024 Natural increase: 1,502 2023 Natural increase: 1,438 2022 Natural increase: 1,372 2021 Natural increase: 1,308 2020 Natural increase: 1,243 2019 Natural increase: 1,180 2018 Natural increase: 1,116 2017 Natural increase: 1,054 2036 Total deaths: 874 2035 Total deaths: 858 2034 Total deaths: 839 2033 Total deaths: 820 2032 Total deaths: 801 2031 Total deaths: 779 2030 Total deaths: 756 2029 Total deaths: 735 2028 Total deaths: 711 2027 Total deaths: 688 2026 Total deaths: 665 2025 Total deaths: 639 2024 Total deaths: 617 2023 Total deaths: 593 2022 Total deaths: 572 2021 Total deaths: 550 2020 Total deaths: 528 2019 Total deaths: 503 2018 Total deaths: 480 2017 Total deaths: 454 2036 Total births: 3,026 2035 Total births: 2,968 2034 Total births: 2,906 2033 Total births: 2,840 2032 Total births: 2,769 2031 Total births: 2,696 2030 Total births: 2,618 2029 Total births: 2,534 2028 Total births: 2,451 2027 Total births: 2,368 2026 Total births: 2,284 2025 Total births: 2,200 2024 Total births: 2,119 2023 Total births: 2,032 2022 Total births: 1,943 2021 Total births: 1,858 2020 Total births: 1,771 2019 Total births: 1,683 2018 Total births: 1,596 2017 Total births: 1,508
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: 1,124 2035 Total net migration: 1,319 2034 Total net migration: 1,542 2033 Total net migration: 1,728 2032 Total net migration: 1,978 2031 Total net migration: 2,160 2030 Total net migration: 2,427 2029 Total net migration: 2,665 2028 Total net migration: 2,756 2027 Total net migration: 2,827 2026 Total net migration: 2,963 2025 Total net migration: 3,141 2024 Total net migration: 3,107 2023 Total net migration: 3,346 2022 Total net migration: 3,503 2021 Total net migration: 3,442 2020 Total net migration: 3,480 2019 Total net migration: 3,349 2018 Total net migration: 3,166 2017 Total net migration: 2,946 2036 Total out migration: 15,369 2035 Total out migration: 15,079 2034 Total out migration: 14,767 2033 Total out migration: 14,444 2032 Total out migration: 14,102 2031 Total out migration: 13,743 2030 Total out migration: 13,360 2029 Total out migration: 12,960 2028 Total out migration: 12,559 2027 Total out migration: 12,156 2026 Total out migration: 11,748 2025 Total out migration: 11,323 2024 Total out migration: 10,908 2023 Total out migration: 10,467 2022 Total out migration: 10,009 2021 Total out migration: 9,568 2020 Total out migration: 9,129 2019 Total out migration: 8,709 2018 Total out migration: 8,303 2017 Total out migration: 7,951 2036 Total in migration: 16,494 2035 Total in migration: 16,398 2034 Total in migration: 16,310 2033 Total in migration: 16,172 2032 Total in migration: 16,081 2031 Total in migration: 15,903 2030 Total in migration: 15,787 2029 Total in migration: 15,625 2028 Total in migration: 15,315 2027 Total in migration: 14,984 2026 Total in migration: 14,711 2025 Total in migration: 14,464 2024 Total in migration: 14,015 2023 Total in migration: 13,813 2022 Total in migration: 13,512 2021 Total in migration: 13,010 2020 Total in migration: 12,609 2019 Total in migration: 12,058 2018 Total in migration: 11,468 2017 Total in migration: 10,897 2036 Total net migration: 1,124 2035 Total net migration: 1,319 2034 Total net migration: 1,542 2033 Total net migration: 1,728 2032 Total net migration: 1,978 2031 Total net migration: 2,160 2030 Total net migration: 2,427 2029 Total net migration: 2,665 2028 Total net migration: 2,756 2027 Total net migration: 2,827 2026 Total net migration: 2,963 2025 Total net migration: 3,141 2024 Total net migration: 3,107 2023 Total net migration: 3,346 2022 Total net migration: 3,503 2021 Total net migration: 3,442 2020 Total net migration: 3,480 2019 Total net migration: 3,349 2018 Total net migration: 3,166 2017 Total net migration: 2,946 2036 Total out migration: 15,369 2035 Total out migration: 15,079 2034 Total out migration: 14,767 2033 Total out migration: 14,444 2032 Total out migration: 14,102 2031 Total out migration: 13,743 2030 Total out migration: 13,360 2029 Total out migration: 12,960 2028 Total out migration: 12,559 2027 Total out migration: 12,156 2026 Total out migration: 11,748 2025 Total out migration: 11,323 2024 Total out migration: 10,908 2023 Total out migration: 10,467 2022 Total out migration: 10,009 2021 Total out migration: 9,568 2020 Total out migration: 9,129 2019 Total out migration: 8,709 2018 Total out migration: 8,303 2017 Total out migration: 7,951 2036 Total in migration: 16,494 2035 Total in migration: 16,398 2034 Total in migration: 16,310 2033 Total in migration: 16,172 2032 Total in migration: 16,081 2031 Total in migration: 15,903 2030 Total in migration: 15,787 2029 Total in migration: 15,625 2028 Total in migration: 15,315 2027 Total in migration: 14,984 2026 Total in migration: 14,711 2025 Total in migration: 14,464 2024 Total in migration: 14,015 2023 Total in migration: 13,813 2022 Total in migration: 13,512 2021 Total in migration: 13,010 2020 Total in migration: 12,609 2019 Total in migration: 12,058 2018 Total in migration: 11,468 2017 Total in migration: 10,897
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
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