Cardinia ShirePopulation forecast
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Cardinia Shire

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Cardinia Shire is forecast for the period from 2022 to 2026, which is expected to have a net increase of 23,463 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Cardinia ShireForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births7,1429,02711,11013,16614,931
Deaths2,1312,6813,2493,8154,342
Natural increase/decrease5,0126,3467,8619,35010,590
Net migration14,15315,78615,37811,9746,830
Change in persons in non-private dwellings236134224302314

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2016.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 3,165 2035 forecast population change: 3,644 2034 forecast population change: 3,483 2033 forecast population change: 3,633 2032 forecast population change: 3,810 2031 forecast population change: 3,914 2030 forecast population change: 4,496 2029 forecast population change: 4,371 2028 forecast population change: 4,424 2027 forecast population change: 4,422 2026 forecast population change: 4,530 2025 forecast population change: 4,884 2024 forecast population change: 4,568 2023 forecast population change: 4,687 2022 forecast population change: 4,794 2021 forecast population change: 4,737 2020 forecast population change: 4,792 2019 forecast population change: 4,531 2018 forecast population change: 4,232 2017 forecast population change: 3,973 2016 forecast population change: 3,624 2015 forecast population change: 3,897 2014 forecast population change: 3,571 2013 forecast population change: 3,927 2012 forecast population change: 4,383
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2016.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: 2,198 2035 Natural increase: 2,162 2034 Natural increase: 2,121 2033 Natural increase: 2,078 2032 Natural increase: 2,030 2031 Natural increase: 1,985 2030 Natural increase: 1,931 2029 Natural increase: 1,871 2028 Natural increase: 1,812 2027 Natural increase: 1,753 2026 Natural increase: 1,692 2025 Natural increase: 1,632 2024 Natural increase: 1,574 2023 Natural increase: 1,513 2022 Natural increase: 1,450 2021 Natural increase: 1,389 2020 Natural increase: 1,328 2019 Natural increase: 1,266 2018 Natural increase: 1,209 2017 Natural increase: 1,154 2016 Natural increase: 1,094 2015 Natural increase: 1,038 2014 Natural increase: 986 2013 Natural increase: 938 2012 Natural increase: 955 2036 Total births: 3,104 2035 Total births: 3,049 2034 Total births: 2,990 2033 Total births: 2,928 2032 Total births: 2,860 2031 Total births: 2,792 2030 Total births: 2,716 2029 Total births: 2,634 2028 Total births: 2,552 2027 Total births: 2,471 2026 Total births: 2,388 2025 Total births: 2,304 2024 Total births: 2,225 2023 Total births: 2,139 2022 Total births: 2,054 2021 Total births: 1,970 2020 Total births: 1,887 2019 Total births: 1,803 2018 Total births: 1,723 2017 Total births: 1,645 2016 Total births: 1,566 2015 Total births: 1,486 2014 Total births: 1,416 2013 Total births: 1,348 2012 Total births: 1,326 2036 Total deaths: 906 2035 Total deaths: 888 2034 Total deaths: 869 2033 Total deaths: 850 2032 Total deaths: 830 2031 Total deaths: 807 2030 Total deaths: 785 2029 Total deaths: 763 2028 Total deaths: 741 2027 Total deaths: 718 2026 Total deaths: 695 2025 Total deaths: 673 2024 Total deaths: 651 2023 Total deaths: 626 2022 Total deaths: 604 2021 Total deaths: 581 2020 Total deaths: 559 2019 Total deaths: 537 2018 Total deaths: 513 2017 Total deaths: 491 2016 Total deaths: 472 2015 Total deaths: 448 2014 Total deaths: 430 2013 Total deaths: 410 2012 Total deaths: 371 2036 Natural increase: 2,198 2035 Natural increase: 2,162 2034 Natural increase: 2,121 2033 Natural increase: 2,078 2032 Natural increase: 2,030 2031 Natural increase: 1,985 2030 Natural increase: 1,931 2029 Natural increase: 1,871 2028 Natural increase: 1,812 2027 Natural increase: 1,753 2026 Natural increase: 1,692 2025 Natural increase: 1,632 2024 Natural increase: 1,574 2023 Natural increase: 1,513 2022 Natural increase: 1,450 2021 Natural increase: 1,389 2020 Natural increase: 1,328 2019 Natural increase: 1,266 2018 Natural increase: 1,209 2017 Natural increase: 1,154 2016 Natural increase: 1,094 2015 Natural increase: 1,038 2014 Natural increase: 986 2013 Natural increase: 938 2012 Natural increase: 955 2036 Total births: 3,104 2035 Total births: 3,049 2034 Total births: 2,990 2033 Total births: 2,928 2032 Total births: 2,860 2031 Total births: 2,792 2030 Total births: 2,716 2029 Total births: 2,634 2028 Total births: 2,552 2027 Total births: 2,471 2026 Total births: 2,388 2025 Total births: 2,304 2024 Total births: 2,225 2023 Total births: 2,139 2022 Total births: 2,054 2021 Total births: 1,970 2020 Total births: 1,887 2019 Total births: 1,803 2018 Total births: 1,723 2017 Total births: 1,645 2016 Total births: 1,566 2015 Total births: 1,486 2014 Total births: 1,416 2013 Total births: 1,348 2012 Total births: 1,326 2036 Total deaths: 906 2035 Total deaths: 888 2034 Total deaths: 869 2033 Total deaths: 850 2032 Total deaths: 830 2031 Total deaths: 807 2030 Total deaths: 785 2029 Total deaths: 763 2028 Total deaths: 741 2027 Total deaths: 718 2026 Total deaths: 695 2025 Total deaths: 673 2024 Total deaths: 651 2023 Total deaths: 626 2022 Total deaths: 604 2021 Total deaths: 581 2020 Total deaths: 559 2019 Total deaths: 537 2018 Total deaths: 513 2017 Total deaths: 491 2016 Total deaths: 472 2015 Total deaths: 448 2014 Total deaths: 430 2013 Total deaths: 410 2012 Total deaths: 371
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2016.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: 966 2035 Total net migration: 1,168 2034 Total net migration: 1,362 2033 Total net migration: 1,555 2032 Total net migration: 1,779 2031 Total net migration: 1,929 2030 Total net migration: 2,263 2029 Total net migration: 2,500 2028 Total net migration: 2,612 2027 Total net migration: 2,669 2026 Total net migration: 2,838 2025 Total net migration: 3,029 2024 Total net migration: 2,994 2023 Total net migration: 3,174 2022 Total net migration: 3,343 2021 Total net migration: 3,348 2020 Total net migration: 3,330 2019 Total net migration: 3,265 2018 Total net migration: 3,023 2017 Total net migration: 2,819 2016 Total net migration: 2,529 2015 Total net migration: 2,774 2014 Total net migration: 2,523 2013 Total net migration: 2,989 2012 Total net migration: 3,338 2036 Total out migration: 15,733 2035 Total out migration: 15,452 2034 Total out migration: 15,155 2033 Total out migration: 14,844 2032 Total out migration: 14,514 2031 Total out migration: 14,175 2030 Total out migration: 13,803 2029 Total out migration: 13,413 2028 Total out migration: 13,018 2027 Total out migration: 12,624 2026 Total out migration: 12,217 2025 Total out migration: 11,797 2024 Total out migration: 11,387 2023 Total out migration: 10,958 2022 Total out migration: 10,518 2021 Total out migration: 10,088 2020 Total out migration: 9,663 2019 Total out migration: 9,252 2018 Total out migration: 8,863 2017 Total out migration: 8,503 2016 Total out migration: 8,171 2015 Total out migration: 7,828 2014 Total out migration: 7,514 2013 Total out migration: 7,174 2012 Total out migration: 6,824 2036 Total in migration: 16,699 2035 Total in migration: 16,620 2034 Total in migration: 16,517 2033 Total in migration: 16,398 2032 Total in migration: 16,293 2031 Total in migration: 16,104 2030 Total in migration: 16,066 2029 Total in migration: 15,913 2028 Total in migration: 15,630 2027 Total in migration: 15,293 2026 Total in migration: 15,055 2025 Total in migration: 14,826 2024 Total in migration: 14,381 2023 Total in migration: 14,132 2022 Total in migration: 13,861 2021 Total in migration: 13,436 2020 Total in migration: 12,993 2019 Total in migration: 12,517 2018 Total in migration: 11,886 2017 Total in migration: 11,322 2016 Total in migration: 10,700 2015 Total in migration: 10,602 2014 Total in migration: 10,037 2013 Total in migration: 10,163 2012 Total in migration: 10,162 2036 Total net migration: 966 2035 Total net migration: 1,168 2034 Total net migration: 1,362 2033 Total net migration: 1,555 2032 Total net migration: 1,779 2031 Total net migration: 1,929 2030 Total net migration: 2,263 2029 Total net migration: 2,500 2028 Total net migration: 2,612 2027 Total net migration: 2,669 2026 Total net migration: 2,838 2025 Total net migration: 3,029 2024 Total net migration: 2,994 2023 Total net migration: 3,174 2022 Total net migration: 3,343 2021 Total net migration: 3,348 2020 Total net migration: 3,330 2019 Total net migration: 3,265 2018 Total net migration: 3,023 2017 Total net migration: 2,819 2016 Total net migration: 2,529 2015 Total net migration: 2,774 2014 Total net migration: 2,523 2013 Total net migration: 2,989 2012 Total net migration: 3,338 2036 Total out migration: 15,733 2035 Total out migration: 15,452 2034 Total out migration: 15,155 2033 Total out migration: 14,844 2032 Total out migration: 14,514 2031 Total out migration: 14,175 2030 Total out migration: 13,803 2029 Total out migration: 13,413 2028 Total out migration: 13,018 2027 Total out migration: 12,624 2026 Total out migration: 12,217 2025 Total out migration: 11,797 2024 Total out migration: 11,387 2023 Total out migration: 10,958 2022 Total out migration: 10,518 2021 Total out migration: 10,088 2020 Total out migration: 9,663 2019 Total out migration: 9,252 2018 Total out migration: 8,863 2017 Total out migration: 8,503 2016 Total out migration: 8,171 2015 Total out migration: 7,828 2014 Total out migration: 7,514 2013 Total out migration: 7,174 2012 Total out migration: 6,824 2036 Total in migration: 16,699 2035 Total in migration: 16,620 2034 Total in migration: 16,517 2033 Total in migration: 16,398 2032 Total in migration: 16,293 2031 Total in migration: 16,104 2030 Total in migration: 16,066 2029 Total in migration: 15,913 2028 Total in migration: 15,630 2027 Total in migration: 15,293 2026 Total in migration: 15,055 2025 Total in migration: 14,826 2024 Total in migration: 14,381 2023 Total in migration: 14,132 2022 Total in migration: 13,861 2021 Total in migration: 13,436 2020 Total in migration: 12,993 2019 Total in migration: 12,517 2018 Total in migration: 11,886 2017 Total in migration: 11,322 2016 Total in migration: 10,700 2015 Total in migration: 10,602 2014 Total in migration: 10,037 2013 Total in migration: 10,163 2012 Total in migration: 10,162
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2016.
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