Cardinia ShirePopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Cardinia Shire

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Cardinia Shire is forecast for the period from 2022 to 2026, which is expected to have a net increase of 23,963 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Cardinia ShireForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births--9,23811,34513,46815,368
Deaths--2,7113,2803,9264,555
Natural increase/decrease--6,5278,0669,54210,813
Net migration--16,00015,67412,5667,597
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--134224302314

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 3,349 2035 forecast population change: 3,832 2034 forecast population change: 3,702 2033 forecast population change: 3,827 2032 forecast population change: 4,014 2031 forecast population change: 4,136 2030 forecast population change: 4,664 2029 forecast population change: 4,517 2028 forecast population change: 4,539 2027 forecast population change: 4,554 2026 forecast population change: 4,637 2025 forecast population change: 4,995 2024 forecast population change: 4,659 2023 forecast population change: 4,774 2022 forecast population change: 4,899 2021 forecast population change: 4,818 2020 forecast population change: 4,909 2019 forecast population change: 4,588 2018 forecast population change: 4,295 2017 forecast population change: 4,051
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: 2,248 2035 Natural increase: 2,208 2034 Natural increase: 2,164 2033 Natural increase: 2,120 2032 Natural increase: 2,072 2031 Natural increase: 2,022 2030 Natural increase: 1,967 2029 Natural increase: 1,908 2028 Natural increase: 1,852 2027 Natural increase: 1,793 2026 Natural increase: 1,732 2025 Natural increase: 1,672 2024 Natural increase: 1,615 2023 Natural increase: 1,555 2022 Natural increase: 1,492 2021 Natural increase: 1,428 2020 Natural increase: 1,364 2019 Natural increase: 1,304 2018 Natural increase: 1,245 2017 Natural increase: 1,185 2036 Total deaths: 954 2035 Total deaths: 935 2034 Total deaths: 913 2033 Total deaths: 889 2032 Total deaths: 864 2031 Total deaths: 839 2030 Total deaths: 813 2029 Total deaths: 786 2028 Total deaths: 757 2027 Total deaths: 731 2026 Total deaths: 707 2025 Total deaths: 680 2024 Total deaths: 656 2023 Total deaths: 630 2022 Total deaths: 607 2021 Total deaths: 586 2020 Total deaths: 566 2019 Total deaths: 541 2018 Total deaths: 520 2017 Total deaths: 498 2036 Total births: 3,202 2035 Total births: 3,143 2034 Total births: 3,077 2033 Total births: 3,009 2032 Total births: 2,936 2031 Total births: 2,861 2030 Total births: 2,780 2029 Total births: 2,694 2028 Total births: 2,609 2027 Total births: 2,524 2026 Total births: 2,438 2025 Total births: 2,352 2024 Total births: 2,271 2023 Total births: 2,185 2022 Total births: 2,099 2021 Total births: 2,014 2020 Total births: 1,930 2019 Total births: 1,846 2018 Total births: 1,765 2017 Total births: 1,683 2036 Natural increase: 2,248 2035 Natural increase: 2,208 2034 Natural increase: 2,164 2033 Natural increase: 2,120 2032 Natural increase: 2,072 2031 Natural increase: 2,022 2030 Natural increase: 1,967 2029 Natural increase: 1,908 2028 Natural increase: 1,852 2027 Natural increase: 1,793 2026 Natural increase: 1,732 2025 Natural increase: 1,672 2024 Natural increase: 1,615 2023 Natural increase: 1,555 2022 Natural increase: 1,492 2021 Natural increase: 1,428 2020 Natural increase: 1,364 2019 Natural increase: 1,304 2018 Natural increase: 1,245 2017 Natural increase: 1,185 2036 Total deaths: 954 2035 Total deaths: 935 2034 Total deaths: 913 2033 Total deaths: 889 2032 Total deaths: 864 2031 Total deaths: 839 2030 Total deaths: 813 2029 Total deaths: 786 2028 Total deaths: 757 2027 Total deaths: 731 2026 Total deaths: 707 2025 Total deaths: 680 2024 Total deaths: 656 2023 Total deaths: 630 2022 Total deaths: 607 2021 Total deaths: 586 2020 Total deaths: 566 2019 Total deaths: 541 2018 Total deaths: 520 2017 Total deaths: 498 2036 Total births: 3,202 2035 Total births: 3,143 2034 Total births: 3,077 2033 Total births: 3,009 2032 Total births: 2,936 2031 Total births: 2,861 2030 Total births: 2,780 2029 Total births: 2,694 2028 Total births: 2,609 2027 Total births: 2,524 2026 Total births: 2,438 2025 Total births: 2,352 2024 Total births: 2,271 2023 Total births: 2,185 2022 Total births: 2,099 2021 Total births: 2,014 2020 Total births: 1,930 2019 Total births: 1,846 2018 Total births: 1,765 2017 Total births: 1,683
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: 1,101 2035 Total net migration: 1,310 2034 Total net migration: 1,538 2033 Total net migration: 1,707 2032 Total net migration: 1,941 2031 Total net migration: 2,114 2030 Total net migration: 2,395 2029 Total net migration: 2,609 2028 Total net migration: 2,687 2027 Total net migration: 2,761 2026 Total net migration: 2,906 2025 Total net migration: 3,098 2024 Total net migration: 3,045 2023 Total net migration: 3,219 2022 Total net migration: 3,406 2021 Total net migration: 3,390 2020 Total net migration: 3,411 2019 Total net migration: 3,284 2018 Total net migration: 3,050 2017 Total net migration: 2,866 2036 Total out migration: 16,201 2035 Total out migration: 15,902 2034 Total out migration: 15,583 2033 Total out migration: 15,254 2032 Total out migration: 14,906 2031 Total out migration: 14,541 2030 Total out migration: 14,153 2029 Total out migration: 13,750 2028 Total out migration: 13,346 2027 Total out migration: 12,941 2026 Total out migration: 12,529 2025 Total out migration: 12,103 2024 Total out migration: 11,687 2023 Total out migration: 11,254 2022 Total out migration: 10,804 2021 Total out migration: 10,363 2020 Total out migration: 9,925 2019 Total out migration: 9,509 2018 Total out migration: 9,115 2017 Total out migration: 8,773 2036 Total in migration: 17,301 2035 Total in migration: 17,213 2034 Total in migration: 17,121 2033 Total in migration: 16,961 2032 Total in migration: 16,848 2031 Total in migration: 16,655 2030 Total in migration: 16,549 2029 Total in migration: 16,360 2028 Total in migration: 16,032 2027 Total in migration: 15,701 2026 Total in migration: 15,435 2025 Total in migration: 15,202 2024 Total in migration: 14,732 2023 Total in migration: 14,473 2022 Total in migration: 14,210 2021 Total in migration: 13,753 2020 Total in migration: 13,336 2019 Total in migration: 12,793 2018 Total in migration: 12,165 2017 Total in migration: 11,639 2036 Total net migration: 1,101 2035 Total net migration: 1,310 2034 Total net migration: 1,538 2033 Total net migration: 1,707 2032 Total net migration: 1,941 2031 Total net migration: 2,114 2030 Total net migration: 2,395 2029 Total net migration: 2,609 2028 Total net migration: 2,687 2027 Total net migration: 2,761 2026 Total net migration: 2,906 2025 Total net migration: 3,098 2024 Total net migration: 3,045 2023 Total net migration: 3,219 2022 Total net migration: 3,406 2021 Total net migration: 3,390 2020 Total net migration: 3,411 2019 Total net migration: 3,284 2018 Total net migration: 3,050 2017 Total net migration: 2,866 2036 Total out migration: 16,201 2035 Total out migration: 15,902 2034 Total out migration: 15,583 2033 Total out migration: 15,254 2032 Total out migration: 14,906 2031 Total out migration: 14,541 2030 Total out migration: 14,153 2029 Total out migration: 13,750 2028 Total out migration: 13,346 2027 Total out migration: 12,941 2026 Total out migration: 12,529 2025 Total out migration: 12,103 2024 Total out migration: 11,687 2023 Total out migration: 11,254 2022 Total out migration: 10,804 2021 Total out migration: 10,363 2020 Total out migration: 9,925 2019 Total out migration: 9,509 2018 Total out migration: 9,115 2017 Total out migration: 8,773 2036 Total in migration: 17,301 2035 Total in migration: 17,213 2034 Total in migration: 17,121 2033 Total in migration: 16,961 2032 Total in migration: 16,848 2031 Total in migration: 16,655 2030 Total in migration: 16,549 2029 Total in migration: 16,360 2028 Total in migration: 16,032 2027 Total in migration: 15,701 2026 Total in migration: 15,435 2025 Total in migration: 15,202 2024 Total in migration: 14,732 2023 Total in migration: 14,473 2022 Total in migration: 14,210 2021 Total in migration: 13,753 2020 Total in migration: 13,336 2019 Total in migration: 12,793 2018 Total in migration: 12,165 2017 Total in migration: 11,639
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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