City of Canterbury BankstownPopulation forecast
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City of Canterbury Bankstown

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in City of Canterbury Bankstown is 20-24 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Canterbury Bankstown depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions influenced by:

  • Significant new housing opportunities across the City, particularly in the Bankstown CBD and areas along Canterbury Road and the Bankstown-Sydenham rail line, which are expected to attract a range of household types, predominantly young adults and some older families
  • In the longer term, a loss of families and first-time homebuyers attracted to housing opportunities in neighbouring growth areas, but a large gain of young adults as a result of higher density development.
  • The commensurate loss in older age groups is because there is a large cohort of young adults moving into higher density accommodation, who are likely to move away to access family type housing elsewhere as they enter their late twenties and early thirties and their housing needs change
  • Slight loss of empty-nesters and retirees
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 23 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 75 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -163 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -91 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -392 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -561 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -201 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 150 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 24 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 151 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 557 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 77 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 3,616 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 5,585 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 2,630 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 202 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -372 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -866 0 2016 to 2021: 7 0 2016 to 2021: 14 0 2016 to 2021: -124 0 2016 to 2021: -114 0 2016 to 2021: -354 0 2016 to 2021: -477 0 2016 to 2021: -166 0 2016 to 2021: 291 0 2016 to 2021: 277 0 2016 to 2021: 822 0 2016 to 2021: 1,166 0 2016 to 2021: 994 0 2016 to 2021: 4,401 0 2016 to 2021: 5,922 0 2016 to 2021: 3,087 0 2016 to 2021: 605 0 2016 to 2021: -42 0 2016 to 2021: -578 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: -125 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: -151 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: -203 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: -143 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: -377 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: -518 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: -389 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: -111 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: -40 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: 394 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 745 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: 192 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: 2,576 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: 3,987 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: 2,146 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: 466 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: -382 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: -1,163 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 23 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 75 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -163 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -91 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -392 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -561 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -201 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 150 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 24 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 151 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 557 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 77 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 3,616 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 5,585 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 2,630 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 202 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -372 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -866 0 2016 to 2021: 7 0 2016 to 2021: 14 0 2016 to 2021: -124 0 2016 to 2021: -114 0 2016 to 2021: -354 0 2016 to 2021: -477 0 2016 to 2021: -166 0 2016 to 2021: 291 0 2016 to 2021: 277 0 2016 to 2021: 822 0 2016 to 2021: 1,166 0 2016 to 2021: 994 0 2016 to 2021: 4,401 0 2016 to 2021: 5,922 0 2016 to 2021: 3,087 0 2016 to 2021: 605 0 2016 to 2021: -42 0 2016 to 2021: -578 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: -125 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: -151 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: -203 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: -143 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: -377 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: -518 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: -389 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: -111 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: -40 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: 394 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 745 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: 192 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: 2,576 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: 3,987 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: 2,146 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: 466 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: -382 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: -1,163
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2017.
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