City of CanningPopulation forecast
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City of Canning

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in the City of Canning is 15-19 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2021 to 2026.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Canning depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration profile from 2006-2011 based on modelling to match 2011 Census based Estimated Resident Population (ERP) by age. From 2011 onwards:

  • Attraction of young adults (18-24 years), mainly students accessing accommodation in Wilson and Bentley close to Curtin University of Technology
  • Loss of young couples and, in the longer term a small loss of young families (0-4 and 25-34 years) seeking housing opportunities elsewhere
  • Loss of 'empty-nesters' and retirees (50-74 years)
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 111 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 73 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -50 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -209 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -366 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -379 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -359 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -256 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 139 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 379 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -90 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: -1,427 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: -1,169 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 1,966 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 3,758 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 753 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 23 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -378 0 2016 to 2021: 141 0 2016 to 2021: 31 0 2016 to 2021: -63 0 2016 to 2021: -203 0 2016 to 2021: -342 0 2016 to 2021: -350 0 2016 to 2021: -309 0 2016 to 2021: -167 0 2016 to 2021: 131 0 2016 to 2021: 486 0 2016 to 2021: 121 0 2016 to 2021: -1,237 0 2016 to 2021: -1,030 0 2016 to 2021: 1,955 0 2016 to 2021: 3,524 0 2016 to 2021: 815 0 2016 to 2021: 116 0 2016 to 2021: -284 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: -5 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: 3 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: -51 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: -119 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: -292 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: -318 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: -236 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: 10 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: 315 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: 782 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 709 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: -653 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: -788 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: 1,579 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: 3,293 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: 1,091 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: 539 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: 123 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 111 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 73 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -50 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -209 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -366 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -379 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -359 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -256 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 139 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 379 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -90 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: -1,427 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: -1,169 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 1,966 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 3,758 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 753 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 23 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -378 0 2016 to 2021: 141 0 2016 to 2021: 31 0 2016 to 2021: -63 0 2016 to 2021: -203 0 2016 to 2021: -342 0 2016 to 2021: -350 0 2016 to 2021: -309 0 2016 to 2021: -167 0 2016 to 2021: 131 0 2016 to 2021: 486 0 2016 to 2021: 121 0 2016 to 2021: -1,237 0 2016 to 2021: -1,030 0 2016 to 2021: 1,955 0 2016 to 2021: 3,524 0 2016 to 2021: 815 0 2016 to 2021: 116 0 2016 to 2021: -284 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: -5 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: 3 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: -51 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: -119 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: -292 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: -318 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: -236 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: 10 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: 315 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: 782 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 709 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: -653 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: -788 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: 1,579 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: 3,293 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: 1,091 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: 539 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: 123
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2015.
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