City of CanningPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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City of Canning

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in the City of Canning is 15-19 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2026 to 2031.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Canning depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration profile from 2006-2016 based on modelling to match 2016 Census based Estimated Resident Population (ERP) by age. From 2016 onwards:

  • Attraction of young adults (18-24 years), mainly students accessing accommodation in Wilson and Bentley close to Curtin University of Technology
  • Loss of young couples and, in the longer term a small loss of young families (0-4 and 25-34 years) seeking housing opportunities elsewhere
  • Loss of 'empty-nesters' and retirees (50-74 years)
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group 0 2021 to 2026: 149 0 2021 to 2026: 93 0 2021 to 2026: -52 0 2021 to 2026: -190 0 2021 to 2026: -306 0 2021 to 2026: -272 0 2021 to 2026: -234 0 2021 to 2026: -146 0 2021 to 2026: 203 0 2021 to 2026: 358 0 2021 to 2026: -33 0 2021 to 2026: -1,266 0 2021 to 2026: -944 0 2021 to 2026: 2,174 0 2021 to 2026: 3,682 0 2021 to 2026: 778 0 2021 to 2026: 89 0 2021 to 2026: -281 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 197 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 71 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -52 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -213 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -336 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -241 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -110 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 98 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 240 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 524 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: -273 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: -1,165 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: -189 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 2,613 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 3,668 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 541 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: -70 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: -113 0 2021 to 2026: 149 0 2021 to 2026: 93 0 2021 to 2026: -52 0 2021 to 2026: -190 0 2021 to 2026: -306 0 2021 to 2026: -272 0 2021 to 2026: -234 0 2021 to 2026: -146 0 2021 to 2026: 203 0 2021 to 2026: 358 0 2021 to 2026: -33 0 2021 to 2026: -1,266 0 2021 to 2026: -944 0 2021 to 2026: 2,174 0 2021 to 2026: 3,682 0 2021 to 2026: 778 0 2021 to 2026: 89 0 2021 to 2026: -281 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 197 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 71 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -52 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -213 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -336 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -241 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -110 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 98 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 240 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 524 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: -273 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: -1,165 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: -189 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 2,613 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 3,668 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 541 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: -70 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: -113
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2017.
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