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Campbelltown City CouncilPopulation forecast

Bardia

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Bardia indicate a 49.5% increase in population under working age, a 290.5% increase in population of retirement age, and a 68.9% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Campbelltown City Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Bardia - Total persons202120312041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 473512.89199.58538.6+118
5 to 972912.799210.38668.7+137
10 to 143906.88608.97667.7+376
15 to 192624.67417.77437.5+481
20 to 243325.85635.86796.9+347
25 to 294447.75685.96026.1+158
30 to 3471812.58038.37027.1-15
35 to 3980914.19579.98018.1-8
40 to 444998.78949.37557.6+256
45 to 493035.37828.17267.3+423
50 to 541402.44995.26506.6+510
55 to 591502.63353.55725.8+422
60 to 641162.02292.44104.1+294
65 to 69671.21841.92772.8+210
70 to 74320.61311.41911.9+159
75 to 7950.1850.91511.5+146
80 to 8470.1530.6991.0+92
85 and over150.3390.4650.7+51
Total persons5,752100.09,633100.09,908100.0+4,157
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), March 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Bardia was ages 35 to 39, which accounted for 14.1% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 15 to 19, which is expected to increase by 479 and account for 7.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 992 persons.

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