Shire of CampaspePopulation forecast
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Shire of Campaspe

Population and age structure

Between 2011 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for the Shire of Campaspe indicate a 0.8% increase in population under working age, a 35.0% increase in population of retirement age, and a 1.6% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the Shire of Campaspe is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Shire of Campaspe - Total persons201120262036Change between 2011 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 2,2516.12,3125.92,4595.8+208
5 to 9 2,3716.42,5056.42,6936.4+322
10 to 14 2,6757.32,5416.52,7686.6+93
15 to 19 2,5246.82,2345.72,4355.8-89
20 to 24 1,8805.11,8084.61,9464.6+66
25 to 29 1,7884.91,8614.81,9374.6+149
30 to 34 1,6684.51,9335.02,0394.8+371
35 to 39 2,0895.72,1175.42,3145.5+224
40 to 44 2,4776.72,3356.02,5696.1+91
45 to 49 2,6217.12,3616.12,6126.2-9
50 to 54 2,6327.12,4496.32,6306.2-2
55 to 59 2,5076.82,5246.52,5836.1+76
60 to 64 2,3306.32,5326.52,5746.1+244
65 to 69 2,1285.82,4656.32,5786.1+450
70 to 74 1,6884.62,2635.82,4525.8+765
75 to 79 1,3353.61,9535.02,1995.2+864
80 to 84 1,0022.71,4833.81,7444.1+742
85 and over8882.41,3423.41,5963.8+708
Total persons36,856100.039,020100.042,128100.0+5,273

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, September 2016.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 1,596 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 1,744 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 2,199 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 2,452 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 2,578 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 2,574 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 2,583 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 2,630 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 2,612 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 2,569 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 2,314 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 2,039 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 1,937 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 1,946 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 2,435 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 2,768 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 2,693 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 2,459 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 1,342 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 1,483 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 1,953 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 2,263 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 2,465 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 2,532 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 2,524 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 2,449 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 2,361 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 2,335 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 2,117 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 1,933 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 1,861 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 1,808 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 2,234 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 2,541 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 2,505 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 2,312 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011: 888 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011: 1,002 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011: 1,335 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011: 1,688 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011: 2,128 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011: 2,330 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011: 2,507 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011: 2,632 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011: 2,621 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011: 2,477 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011: 2,089 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011: 1,668 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011: 1,788 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011: 1,880 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011: 2,524 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011: 2,675 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011: 2,371 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011: 2,251
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2016.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 253 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 261 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 245 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 189 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 112 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 42 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 59 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 181 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 251 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 234 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 197 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 106 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 76 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 138 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 201 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 227 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 189 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 147 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2026: 455 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2026: 482 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2026: 619 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2026: 576 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2026: 338 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2026: 202 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2026: 17 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2026: -184 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2026: -260 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2026: -142 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2026: 27 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2026: 265 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2026: 74 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2026: -72 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2026: -290 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2026: -135 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2026: 133 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2026: 61
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2016.

Key findings

In 2011, the dominant age structure for persons in the Shire of Campaspe was ages 10 to 14 , which accounted for 7.3% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2011 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79 , which is expected to increase by 619 and account for 5.0% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 10 to 14 years, with a total of 2,541 persons.

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