Blue Mountains City CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Blue Mountains City

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Blue Mountains City is 35-39 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2026 to 2031.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Blue Mountains City depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Limited new housing opportunities across the City, resulting in moderate population growth over the forecast period
  • Gain of young family households (0-9 and 30-39 year olds)
  • The loss of young adults in their late teens and twenties leaving home is expected in many areas, as some will leave the City to find employment and education opportunities in metropolitan Sydney
  • Minor gains of mature adults, empty-nesters and early retirees (44-64 years)
  • Loss of retirees and elderly aged 65-80 years
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 230 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -33 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -192 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -232 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -148 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 30 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 126 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 115 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 190 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 182 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 659 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 507 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: -31 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -932 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -757 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -104 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 241 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 371 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 244 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 2 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -128 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -207 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -168 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 24 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 78 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 190 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 37 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 176 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 619 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 403 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 2 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: -1,001 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: -782 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: -162 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 136 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 327 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 230 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -33 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -192 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -232 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -148 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 30 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 126 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 115 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 190 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 182 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 659 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 507 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: -31 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -932 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -757 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -104 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 241 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 371 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 244 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 2 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -128 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -207 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -168 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 24 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 78 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 190 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 37 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 176 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 619 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 403 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 2 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: -1,001 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: -782 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: -162 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 136 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 327
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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