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Bathurst Regional CouncilPopulation forecast

Bathurst Regional Council

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Bathurst Regional Council is forecast to grow from 18,400 in 2021 to 24,160 in 2041, with the average household size falling from 2.46 to 2.41 by 2041.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Bathurst Regional Council. The period 2021 to 2031, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Bathurst Regional CouncilForecast year
Summary20212026203120362041
Population43,66646,65650,10353,54356,560
Change in population (5yrs)--2,9913,4463,4403,017
Average annual change--1.33%1.44%1.34%1.10%
Households16,83018,19419,74021,20222,448
Average household size2.462.442.412.412.41
Population in non private dwellings2,2932,3532,4352,4792,501
Dwellings18,40019,66721,28622,82824,160
Dwelling occupancy rate91.4792.5192.7492.8892.91
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), January 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the total population of Bathurst Regional Council was estimated to be 43,666 people. It is expected to increase by over 6,437 people to 50,103 by 2031, at an average annual growth rate of 1.38%. This is based on an increase of over 2,910 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.46 to 2.41 by 2031.

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