Bathurst Regional CouncilPopulation forecast
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Bathurst Regional

Population and age structure

Between 2011 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Bathurst Regional indicate a 12.5% increase in population under working age, a 62.0% increase in population of retirement age, and a 11.3% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Bathurst Regional is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Bathurst Regional - Total persons201120262036Change between 2011 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 2,7246.83,0536.43,4326.5+707
5 to 9 2,7606.93,0886.53,4486.5+688
10 to 14 2,7276.83,0996.53,4526.5+725
15 to 19 3,1627.93,5987.63,8727.3+710
20 to 24 3,4758.73,4817.33,7567.1+281
25 to 29 2,5586.42,7975.93,0925.9+535
30 to 34 2,2925.72,7575.83,0755.8+783
35 to 39 2,5046.32,8946.13,1896.0+686
40 to 44 2,5806.52,8876.13,2326.1+652
45 to 49 2,5706.42,8266.03,2436.1+672
50 to 54 2,5926.52,7965.93,0945.9+501
55 to 59 2,4186.02,6765.62,9205.5+502
60 to 64 2,1505.42,5515.42,8095.3+658
65 to 69 1,7734.42,5175.32,7395.2+966
70 to 74 1,2703.22,2874.82,5474.8+1,277
75 to 79 1,0082.51,8844.02,2234.2+1,215
80 to 84 7862.01,3392.81,7173.2+931
85 and over6551.68691.81,0121.9+357
Total persons40,005100.047,398100.052,851100.0+12,846

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2014.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 1,012 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 1,717 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 2,223 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 2,547 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 2,739 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 2,809 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 2,920 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 3,094 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 3,243 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 3,232 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 3,189 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 3,075 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 3,092 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 3,756 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 3,872 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 3,452 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 3,448 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 3,432 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 869 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 1,339 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 1,884 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 2,287 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 2,517 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 2,551 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 2,676 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 2,796 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 2,826 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 2,887 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 2,894 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 2,757 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 2,797 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 3,481 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 3,598 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 3,099 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 3,088 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 3,053 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011: 655 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011: 786 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011: 1,008 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011: 1,270 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011: 1,773 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011: 2,150 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011: 2,418 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011: 2,592 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011: 2,570 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011: 2,580 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011: 2,504 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011: 2,292 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011: 2,558 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011: 3,475 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011: 3,162 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011: 2,727 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011: 2,760 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011: 2,724
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2014.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 143 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 378 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 338 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 260 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 222 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 258 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 244 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 298 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 417 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 345 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 295 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 319 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 295 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 275 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 274 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 353 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 359 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 379 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2026: 214 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2026: 553 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2026: 876 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2026: 1,017 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2026: 744 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2026: 401 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2026: 258 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2026: 204 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2026: 255 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2026: 306 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2026: 390 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2026: 465 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2026: 240 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2026: 6 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2026: 436 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2026: 372 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2026: 328 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2026: 328
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2014.

Key findings

In 2011, the dominant age structure for persons in Bathurst Regional was ages 20 to 24 , which accounted for 8.7% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2011 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 70 to 74 , which is expected to increase by 1,017 and account for 4.8% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 15 to 19 years, with a total of 3,598 persons.

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