Bathurst Regional CouncilPopulation forecast
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Bathurst Regional

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Bathurst Regional is 0-4 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2021 to 2026.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Bathurst Regional depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Moderate rates of new housing development across the Council area, most notably in Kelso (North) - Laffing Waters, Abercrombie - Llanarth, Eglinton, Windradyne and Bathurst (Central)
  • Developments are expected to attract a range of households, predominantly families (aged 30-49 and 0-14 years) as well as young adults attracted to tertiary and secondary education opportunities
  • Loss of the elderly and people aged 20-29 and is expected in most areas
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 47 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -24 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: 8 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: 73 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 115 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 66 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 38 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 39 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 122 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 226 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 230 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 166 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: -74 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -186 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 262 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 13 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 121 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 299 0 2016 to 2021: 69 0 2016 to 2021: 25 0 2016 to 2021: 49 0 2016 to 2021: 91 0 2016 to 2021: 119 0 2016 to 2021: 59 0 2016 to 2021: 21 0 2016 to 2021: 36 0 2016 to 2021: 85 0 2016 to 2021: 208 0 2016 to 2021: 228 0 2016 to 2021: 119 0 2016 to 2021: -106 0 2016 to 2021: -151 0 2016 to 2021: 285 0 2016 to 2021: 11 0 2016 to 2021: 104 0 2016 to 2021: 272 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: 67 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: 49 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: 79 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: 123 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: 146 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: 76 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: 22 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: 27 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: 88 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: 177 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 233 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: 141 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: -230 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: -285 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: 242 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: 24 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: 116 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: 270 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 47 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -24 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: 8 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: 73 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 115 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 66 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 38 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 39 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 122 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 226 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 230 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 166 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: -74 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -186 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 262 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 13 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 121 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 299 0 2016 to 2021: 69 0 2016 to 2021: 25 0 2016 to 2021: 49 0 2016 to 2021: 91 0 2016 to 2021: 119 0 2016 to 2021: 59 0 2016 to 2021: 21 0 2016 to 2021: 36 0 2016 to 2021: 85 0 2016 to 2021: 208 0 2016 to 2021: 228 0 2016 to 2021: 119 0 2016 to 2021: -106 0 2016 to 2021: -151 0 2016 to 2021: 285 0 2016 to 2021: 11 0 2016 to 2021: 104 0 2016 to 2021: 272 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: 67 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: 49 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: 79 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: 123 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: 146 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: 76 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: 22 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: 27 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: 88 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: 177 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 233 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: 141 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: -230 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: -285 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: 242 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: 24 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: 116 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: 270
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2014.
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