Bass Coast ShirePopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Bass Coast Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Bass Coast Shire indicate a 18.0% increase in population under working age, a 24.0% increase in population of retirement age, and a 13.2% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Bass Coast Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Bass Coast Shire - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 1,7745.32,1645.62,6375.7+863
5 to 9 1,9555.92,2665.82,7325.9+777
10 to 14 1,8075.42,1025.42,5615.5+754
15 to 19 1,6204.91,7934.62,1294.6+510
20 to 24 1,2393.71,5343.91,8293.9+590
25 to 29 1,4854.51,7334.42,0594.4+573
30 to 34 1,6515.01,9335.02,3475.1+696
35 to 39 1,6004.82,2075.72,6725.8+1,073
40 to 44 1,8515.62,2735.82,7646.0+913
45 to 49 2,0586.22,1125.42,6945.8+637
50 to 54 2,2026.62,2325.72,7345.9+533
55 to 59 2,4787.42,5816.62,9206.3+442
60 to 64 2,6948.12,9717.63,3487.2+654
65 to 69 2,9148.73,1258.03,5477.6+633
70 to 74 2,2816.82,7577.13,1946.9+914
75 to 79 1,5304.62,3316.02,6425.7+1,112
80 to 84 1,0493.11,5924.11,9784.3+929
85 and over1,1263.41,2333.21,6433.5+517
Total persons33,311100.038,939100.046,429100.0+13,118

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 1,643 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 1,978 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 2,642 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 3,194 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 3,547 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 3,348 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 2,920 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 2,734 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 2,694 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 2,764 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 2,672 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 2,347 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 2,059 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 1,829 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 2,129 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 2,561 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 2,732 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 2,637 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 1,233 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 1,592 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 2,331 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 2,757 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 3,125 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 2,971 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 2,581 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 2,232 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 2,112 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 2,273 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 2,207 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 1,933 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 1,733 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 1,534 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 1,793 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 2,102 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 2,266 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 2,164 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 1,126 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 1,049 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 1,530 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 2,281 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 2,914 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 2,694 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 2,478 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 2,202 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 2,058 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 1,851 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 1,600 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 1,651 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 1,485 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 1,239 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 1,620 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 1,807 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 1,955 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 1,774
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 410 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 386 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 311 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 437 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 422 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 377 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 338 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 502 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 582 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 491 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 466 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 414 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 326 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 295 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 336 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 459 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 466 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 473 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 107 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 543 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 801 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 476 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 211 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 277 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 103 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 30 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 54 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 422 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 607 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 282 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 247 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 295 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 174 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 295 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 311 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 390
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Bass Coast Shire was ages 65 to 69 , which accounted for 8.7% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79 , which is expected to increase by 801 and account for 6.0% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 65 to 69 years, with a total of 3,125 persons.

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