Ballina Shire CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Wardell - Rural South

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Wardell - Rural South is forecast to grow from 1,503 in 2016 to 1,563 in 2031, with the average household size falling from 2.63 to 2.49 by 2031.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Ballina Shire. The period 2016 to 2026, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Wardell - Rural SouthForecast year
Summary20162021202620312036
Population3,7163,6613,6113,6573,680
Change in population (5yrs)---55-504523
Average annual change---0.30%-0.28%0.25%0.13%
Households1,4121,4311,4491,4691,488
Average household size2.632.562.492.492.47
Population in non private dwellings33333
Dwellings1,5031,5231,5431,5631,583
Dwelling occupancy rate93.9593.9693.9193.9994.00

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast population, households and average household size
Forecast population, households and average household size 2036 Average household size: 2.47 2035 Average household size: 2.47 2034 Average household size: 2.48 2033 Average household size: 2.48 2032 Average household size: 2.48 2031 Average household size: 2.49 2030 Average household size: 2.49 2029 Average household size: 2.48 2028 Average household size: 2.49 2027 Average household size: 2.49 2026 Average household size: 2.49 2025 Average household size: 2.50 2024 Average household size: 2.51 2023 Average household size: 2.52 2022 Average household size: 2.54 2021 Average household size: 2.56 2020 Average household size: 2.57 2019 Average household size: 2.58 2018 Average household size: 2.60 2017 Average household size: 2.61 2016 Average household size: 2.63 2036 Average household size: 2.47 2035 Average household size: 2.47 2034 Average household size: 2.48 2033 Average household size: 2.48 2032 Average household size: 2.48 2031 Average household size: 2.49 2030 Average household size: 2.49 2029 Average household size: 2.48 2028 Average household size: 2.49 2027 Average household size: 2.49 2026 Average household size: 2.49 2025 Average household size: 2.50 2024 Average household size: 2.51 2023 Average household size: 2.52 2022 Average household size: 2.54 2021 Average household size: 2.56 2020 Average household size: 2.57 2019 Average household size: 2.58 2018 Average household size: 2.60 2017 Average household size: 2.61 2036 Households: 1,487 2035 Households: 1,484 2034 Households: 1,480 2033 Households: 1,476 2032 Households: 1,472 2031 Households: 1,468 2030 Households: 1,465 2029 Households: 1,461 2028 Households: 1,457 2027 Households: 1,453 2026 Households: 1,450 2025 Households: 1,446 2024 Households: 1,442 2023 Households: 1,438 2022 Households: 1,435 2021 Households: 1,431 2020 Households: 1,427 2019 Households: 1,423 2018 Households: 1,420 2017 Households: 1,416 2016 Households: 1,412 2036 Total population: 3,680 2035 Total population: 3,674 2034 Total population: 3,667 2033 Total population: 3,660 2032 Total population: 3,658 2031 Total population: 3,657 2030 Total population: 3,648 2029 Total population: 3,632 2028 Total population: 3,628 2027 Total population: 3,615 2026 Total population: 3,611 2025 Total population: 3,623 2024 Total population: 3,626 2023 Total population: 3,633 2022 Total population: 3,651 2021 Total population: 3,661 2020 Total population: 3,674 2019 Total population: 3,682 2018 Total population: 3,697 2017 Total population: 3,702 2016 Total population: 3,716
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the total population of Wardell - Rural South was estimated to be 3,716 people. It is expected to decrease by over 50 people to 3,657 by 2031, at an average annual growth rate of -0.16%. This is based on an increase of over 50 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.63 to 2.49 by 2031.

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