Ballina Shire CouncilPopulation forecast
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Wardell - Rural South

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Wardell - Rural South is forecast to grow from 1,501 in 2011 to 1,563 in 2021, with the average household size falling from 2.67 to 2.50 by 2021.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Ballina Shire. The period 2011 to 2021, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Wardell - Rural SouthForecast year
Summary201120162021202620312036
Population3,6913,6763,6493,6403,6763,716
Change in population (5yrs)---16-26-93640
Average annual change---0.08%-0.14%-0.05%0.20%0.22%
Households1,3841,4081,4311,4531,4761,499
Average household size2.672.612.552.502.492.48
Population in non private dwellings333333
Dwellings1,5011,5231,5431,5631,5831,603
Dwelling occupancy rate92.2192.4592.7492.9693.2493.51

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, February 2016.

Forecast population, households and average household size
Forecast population, households and average household size 2036 Average household size: 2.48 2035 Average household size: 2.48 2034 Average household size: 2.48 2033 Average household size: 2.48 2032 Average household size: 2.49 2031 Average household size: 2.49 2030 Average household size: 2.49 2029 Average household size: 2.49 2028 Average household size: 2.49 2027 Average household size: 2.50 2026 Average household size: 2.50 2025 Average household size: 2.51 2024 Average household size: 2.52 2023 Average household size: 2.53 2022 Average household size: 2.54 2021 Average household size: 2.55 2020 Average household size: 2.56 2019 Average household size: 2.57 2018 Average household size: 2.58 2017 Average household size: 2.60 2016 Average household size: 2.61 2015 Average household size: 2.62 2014 Average household size: 2.63 2013 Average household size: 2.65 2012 Average household size: 2.67 2011 Average household size: 2.66 2036 Average household size: 2.48 2035 Average household size: 2.48 2034 Average household size: 2.48 2033 Average household size: 2.48 2032 Average household size: 2.49 2031 Average household size: 2.49 2030 Average household size: 2.49 2029 Average household size: 2.49 2028 Average household size: 2.49 2027 Average household size: 2.50 2026 Average household size: 2.50 2025 Average household size: 2.51 2024 Average household size: 2.52 2023 Average household size: 2.53 2022 Average household size: 2.54 2021 Average household size: 2.55 2020 Average household size: 2.56 2019 Average household size: 2.57 2018 Average household size: 2.58 2017 Average household size: 2.60 2016 Average household size: 2.61 2015 Average household size: 2.62 2014 Average household size: 2.63 2013 Average household size: 2.65 2012 Average household size: 2.67 2036 Households: 1,498 2035 Households: 1,494 2034 Households: 1,489 2033 Households: 1,485 2032 Households: 1,480 2031 Households: 1,476 2030 Households: 1,471 2029 Households: 1,467 2028 Households: 1,462 2027 Households: 1,458 2026 Households: 1,453 2025 Households: 1,449 2024 Households: 1,444 2023 Households: 1,440 2022 Households: 1,435 2021 Households: 1,431 2020 Households: 1,426 2019 Households: 1,422 2018 Households: 1,417 2017 Households: 1,413 2016 Households: 1,408 2015 Households: 1,406 2014 Households: 1,399 2013 Households: 1,394 2012 Households: 1,392 2011 Households: 1,384 2036 Total population: 3,716 2035 Total population: 3,709 2034 Total population: 3,701 2033 Total population: 3,693 2032 Total population: 3,683 2031 Total population: 3,676 2030 Total population: 3,666 2029 Total population: 3,656 2028 Total population: 3,649 2027 Total population: 3,645 2026 Total population: 3,640 2025 Total population: 3,640 2024 Total population: 3,644 2023 Total population: 3,646 2022 Total population: 3,650 2021 Total population: 3,649 2020 Total population: 3,653 2019 Total population: 3,656 2018 Total population: 3,666 2017 Total population: 3,670 2016 Total population: 3,676 2015 Total population: 3,690 2014 Total population: 3,687 2013 Total population: 3,699 2012 Total population: 3,718 2011 Total population: 3,691
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, February 2016.

Key findings

In 2011, the total population of Wardell - Rural South was estimated to be 3,691 people. It is expected to decrease by over 50 people to 3,640 by 2021, at an average annual growth rate of -0.14%. This is based on an increase of over 60 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.67 to 2.50 by 2021.

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