City of ArmadalePopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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City of Armadale

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for the City of Armadale indicate a 51.1% increase in population under working age, a 49.4% increase in population of retirement age, and a 37.8% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Armadale is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
City of Armadale - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 7,3618.910,0978.611,8078.3+4,446
5 to 9 6,0907.49,4138.110,9197.7+4,829
10 to 14 4,9416.08,2777.19,8587.0+4,917
15 to 19 4,8575.97,5276.49,4616.7+4,604
20 to 24 5,6576.97,9266.89,9487.0+4,291
25 to 29 7,0788.69,0327.710,6567.5+3,578
30 to 34 7,5369.29,3518.010,7897.6+3,253
35 to 39 6,2307.68,8797.610,2157.2+3,985
40 to 44 5,3406.58,2097.09,4326.7+4,092
45 to 49 4,9946.17,5276.49,1356.4+4,141
50 to 54 4,8695.96,5805.68,4576.0+3,588
55 to 59 4,3715.35,6354.87,3215.2+2,950
60 to 64 3,8944.74,8884.26,1414.3+2,247
65 to 69 3,3874.14,1843.65,1703.6+1,783
70 to 74 2,2232.73,5333.04,3673.1+2,144
75 to 79 1,5911.92,8132.43,5612.5+1,970
80 to 84 9721.21,6591.42,4871.8+1,515
85 and over8891.11,3491.22,0821.5+1,193
Total persons82,280100.0116,880100.0141,805100.0+59,525

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 2,082 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 2,487 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 3,561 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 4,367 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 5,170 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 6,141 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 7,321 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 8,457 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 9,135 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 9,432 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 10,215 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 10,789 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 10,656 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 9,948 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 9,461 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 9,858 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 10,919 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 11,807 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 1,349 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 1,659 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 2,813 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 3,533 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 4,184 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 4,888 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 5,635 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 6,580 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 7,527 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 8,209 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 8,879 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 9,351 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 9,032 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 7,926 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 7,527 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 8,277 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 9,413 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 10,097 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 889 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 972 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 1,591 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 2,223 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 3,387 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 3,894 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 4,371 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 4,869 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 4,994 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 5,340 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 6,230 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 7,536 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 7,078 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 5,657 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 4,857 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 4,941 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 6,090 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 7,361
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 733 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 829 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 747 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 834 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 986 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 1,253 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 1,687 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 1,877 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 1,608 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 1,224 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 1,336 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 1,437 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 1,624 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 2,021 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 1,934 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 1,580 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 1,506 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 1,710 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 460 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 687 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 1,222 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 1,310 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 797 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 994 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 1,264 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 1,711 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 2,533 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 2,869 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 2,649 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 1,815 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 1,954 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 2,269 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 2,670 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 3,336 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 3,323 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 2,736
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in the City of Armadale was ages 30 to 34 , which accounted for 9.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 10 to 14 , which is expected to increase by 3,336 and account for 7.1% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 0 to 4 years, with a total of 10,097 persons.

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