City of ArmadalePopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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City of Armadale

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in the City of Armadale is 20-24 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Armadale depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions influenced by:

  • Substantial new housing opportunities in the major growth areas (Harrisdale, Piara Waters, Haynes and Hilbert) are expected to attract predominantly young couples and families, declining post 2016 as Piara Waters and Harrisdale approach being fully developed and as development rates slow owing to competing greenfield development in neighbouring areas and a potential over-supply of housing regionally over the mid-term
  • Gain of young adults (18-24 years) in Armadale North and South
  • Gain of mature and older families into the rural residential areas of the City (Bedfordale and Roleystone)
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -28 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -95 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -8 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -19 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -24 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -83 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 37 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 193 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 551 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 328 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 203 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 653 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 1,851 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 2,022 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 1,116 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 50 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 74 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 520 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 17 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -12 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 77 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: 24 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 25 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 47 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 147 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 498 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 905 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 935 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 649 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 932 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 2,401 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 2,558 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 1,579 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 742 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 843 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 1,015 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -28 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -95 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -8 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -19 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -24 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -83 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 37 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 193 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 551 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 328 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 203 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 653 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 1,851 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 2,022 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 1,116 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 50 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 74 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 520 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 17 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -12 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 77 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: 24 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 25 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 47 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 147 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 498 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 905 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 935 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 649 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 932 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 2,401 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 2,558 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 1,579 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 742 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 843 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 1,015
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
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