City of ArmadalePopulation forecast
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City of Armadale

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in the City of Armadale is 25-29 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2011 to 2016.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Armadale depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions influenced by:

  • Substantial new housing opportunities in the major growth areas (Harrisdale, Piara Waters, Haynes and Hilbert) are expected to attract predominantly young couples and families, declining post 2016 as Piara Waters and Harrisdale approach being fully developed and as development rates slow owing to competing greenfield development in neighbouring areas and a potential over-supply of housing regionally over the mid-term
  • Gain of young adults (18-24 years) in Armadale North and South
  • Gain of mature and older families into the rural residential areas of the City (Bedfordale and Roleystone)
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -38 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -114 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -9 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -8 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -24 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -84 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -13 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 142 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 540 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 419 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 231 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 487 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 1,668 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 1,891 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 1,056 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 13 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 58 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 435 0 2016 to 2021: 19 0 2016 to 2021: -36 0 2016 to 2021: 80 0 2016 to 2021: 29 0 2016 to 2021: 36 0 2016 to 2021: 58 0 2016 to 2021: 133 0 2016 to 2021: 408 0 2016 to 2021: 832 0 2016 to 2021: 889 0 2016 to 2021: 818 0 2016 to 2021: 925 0 2016 to 2021: 1,950 0 2016 to 2021: 2,199 0 2016 to 2021: 1,415 0 2016 to 2021: 547 0 2016 to 2021: 755 0 2016 to 2021: 975 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: 36 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: -3 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: 80 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: 65 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: 49 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: 87 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: 227 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: 510 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: 1,052 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: 1,364 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 1,646 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: 1,723 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: 2,442 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: 2,328 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: 1,558 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: 1,164 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: 1,424 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: 1,886 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -38 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -114 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -9 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -8 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -24 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -84 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -13 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 142 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 540 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 419 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 231 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 487 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 1,668 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 1,891 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 1,056 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 13 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 58 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 435 0 2016 to 2021: 19 0 2016 to 2021: -36 0 2016 to 2021: 80 0 2016 to 2021: 29 0 2016 to 2021: 36 0 2016 to 2021: 58 0 2016 to 2021: 133 0 2016 to 2021: 408 0 2016 to 2021: 832 0 2016 to 2021: 889 0 2016 to 2021: 818 0 2016 to 2021: 925 0 2016 to 2021: 1,950 0 2016 to 2021: 2,199 0 2016 to 2021: 1,415 0 2016 to 2021: 547 0 2016 to 2021: 755 0 2016 to 2021: 975 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: 36 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: -3 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: 80 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: 65 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: 49 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: 87 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: 227 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: 510 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: 1,052 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: 1,364 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 1,646 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: 1,723 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: 2,442 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: 2,328 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: 1,558 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: 1,164 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: 1,424 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: 1,886
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, August 2015.
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