Alexandrina CouncilPopulation forecast
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Alexandrina Council

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Alexandrina Council is 60-64 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2021 to 2026.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Alexandrina Council depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Stable migration profile expected across the 2006-2026 period, with net in-migration increasing slightly over time as residential development opportunities are realised around Goolwa and Strathalbyn in particular
  • There are two main housing markets in Alexandrina, the first consisting of families who are attracted to more affordable housing and the opportunity to live in a semi-rural environment but still be within commuting distance of Adelaide. This is particularly noticeable in the northern part of Alexandrina.
  • The second housing market consists of retirees (typically 50-64 years) who seek lifestyle opportunities in both coastal and inland areas
  • Like most of regional Australia, Alexandrina loses young adults (18-24 years) to Adelaide and other parts of Australia for employment, education and lifestyle purposes.
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -58 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -127 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -132 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -43 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 230 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 429 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 426 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 240 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 214 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 253 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 328 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 262 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 112 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -164 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -182 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 85 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 225 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 287 0 2016 to 2021: -35 0 2016 to 2021: -77 0 2016 to 2021: -94 0 2016 to 2021: -50 0 2016 to 2021: 194 0 2016 to 2021: 376 0 2016 to 2021: 350 0 2016 to 2021: 203 0 2016 to 2021: 149 0 2016 to 2021: 195 0 2016 to 2021: 272 0 2016 to 2021: 239 0 2016 to 2021: 50 0 2016 to 2021: -211 0 2016 to 2021: -180 0 2016 to 2021: 49 0 2016 to 2021: 189 0 2016 to 2021: 241 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: -36 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: -67 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: -53 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: -15 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: 154 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: 329 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: 297 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: 128 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: 134 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: 92 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 209 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: 192 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: 66 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: -254 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: -219 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: 27 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: 128 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: 171 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -58 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -127 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -132 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -43 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 230 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 429 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 426 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 240 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 214 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 253 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 328 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 262 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 112 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -164 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -182 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 85 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 225 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 287 0 2016 to 2021: -35 0 2016 to 2021: -77 0 2016 to 2021: -94 0 2016 to 2021: -50 0 2016 to 2021: 194 0 2016 to 2021: 376 0 2016 to 2021: 350 0 2016 to 2021: 203 0 2016 to 2021: 149 0 2016 to 2021: 195 0 2016 to 2021: 272 0 2016 to 2021: 239 0 2016 to 2021: 50 0 2016 to 2021: -211 0 2016 to 2021: -180 0 2016 to 2021: 49 0 2016 to 2021: 189 0 2016 to 2021: 241 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: -36 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: -67 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: -53 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: -15 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: 154 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: 329 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: 297 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: 128 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: 134 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: 92 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 209 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: 192 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: 66 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: -254 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: -219 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: 27 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: 128 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: 171
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2014.
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