Alexandrina CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Alexandrina Council

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Alexandrina Council is forecast for the period from 2027 to 2031, which is expected to have a net increase of 2,179 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Alexandrina CouncilForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births--1,3141,3361,3961,475
Deaths--1,3941,4641,6621,836
Natural increase/decrease---81-129-266-361
Net migration--1,9442,1832,3852,509
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--260600

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 451 2035 forecast population change: 425 2034 forecast population change: 434 2033 forecast population change: 418 2032 forecast population change: 421 2031 forecast population change: 403 2030 forecast population change: 422 2029 forecast population change: 427 2028 forecast population change: 438 2027 forecast population change: 490 2026 forecast population change: 414 2025 forecast population change: 414 2024 forecast population change: 416 2023 forecast population change: 400 2022 forecast population change: 411 2021 forecast population change: 381 2020 forecast population change: 364 2019 forecast population change: 373 2018 forecast population change: 377 2017 forecast population change: 394
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: -77 2035 Natural increase: -75 2034 Natural increase: -73 2033 Natural increase: -70 2032 Natural increase: -67 2031 Natural increase: -62 2030 Natural increase: -58 2029 Natural increase: -53 2028 Natural increase: -49 2027 Natural increase: -44 2026 Natural increase: -37 2025 Natural increase: -31 2024 Natural increase: -26 2023 Natural increase: -20 2022 Natural increase: -15 2021 Natural increase: -10 2020 Natural increase: -10 2019 Natural increase: -12 2018 Natural increase: -16 2017 Natural increase: -32 2036 Total deaths: 379 2035 Total deaths: 373 2034 Total deaths: 368 2033 Total deaths: 361 2032 Total deaths: 355 2031 Total deaths: 348 2030 Total deaths: 340 2029 Total deaths: 332 2028 Total deaths: 325 2027 Total deaths: 317 2026 Total deaths: 308 2025 Total deaths: 300 2024 Total deaths: 292 2023 Total deaths: 285 2022 Total deaths: 280 2021 Total deaths: 274 2020 Total deaths: 273 2019 Total deaths: 275 2018 Total deaths: 279 2017 Total deaths: 293 2036 Total births: 302 2035 Total births: 299 2034 Total births: 295 2033 Total births: 292 2032 Total births: 288 2031 Total births: 285 2030 Total births: 282 2029 Total births: 279 2028 Total births: 276 2027 Total births: 273 2026 Total births: 270 2025 Total births: 268 2024 Total births: 267 2023 Total births: 265 2022 Total births: 265 2021 Total births: 264 2020 Total births: 264 2019 Total births: 263 2018 Total births: 262 2017 Total births: 260 2036 Natural increase: -77 2035 Natural increase: -75 2034 Natural increase: -73 2033 Natural increase: -70 2032 Natural increase: -67 2031 Natural increase: -62 2030 Natural increase: -58 2029 Natural increase: -53 2028 Natural increase: -49 2027 Natural increase: -44 2026 Natural increase: -37 2025 Natural increase: -31 2024 Natural increase: -26 2023 Natural increase: -20 2022 Natural increase: -15 2021 Natural increase: -10 2020 Natural increase: -10 2019 Natural increase: -12 2018 Natural increase: -16 2017 Natural increase: -32 2036 Total deaths: 379 2035 Total deaths: 373 2034 Total deaths: 368 2033 Total deaths: 361 2032 Total deaths: 355 2031 Total deaths: 348 2030 Total deaths: 340 2029 Total deaths: 332 2028 Total deaths: 325 2027 Total deaths: 317 2026 Total deaths: 308 2025 Total deaths: 300 2024 Total deaths: 292 2023 Total deaths: 285 2022 Total deaths: 280 2021 Total deaths: 274 2020 Total deaths: 273 2019 Total deaths: 275 2018 Total deaths: 279 2017 Total deaths: 293 2036 Total births: 302 2035 Total births: 299 2034 Total births: 295 2033 Total births: 292 2032 Total births: 288 2031 Total births: 285 2030 Total births: 282 2029 Total births: 279 2028 Total births: 276 2027 Total births: 273 2026 Total births: 270 2025 Total births: 268 2024 Total births: 267 2023 Total births: 265 2022 Total births: 265 2021 Total births: 264 2020 Total births: 264 2019 Total births: 263 2018 Total births: 262 2017 Total births: 260
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: 528 2035 Total net migration: 500 2034 Total net migration: 507 2033 Total net migration: 487 2032 Total net migration: 487 2031 Total net migration: 465 2030 Total net migration: 480 2029 Total net migration: 480 2028 Total net migration: 487 2027 Total net migration: 474 2026 Total net migration: 451 2025 Total net migration: 445 2024 Total net migration: 442 2023 Total net migration: 420 2022 Total net migration: 426 2021 Total net migration: 391 2020 Total net migration: 374 2019 Total net migration: 385 2018 Total net migration: 393 2017 Total net migration: 400 2036 Total out migration: 2,413 2035 Total out migration: 2,384 2034 Total out migration: 2,354 2033 Total out migration: 2,326 2032 Total out migration: 2,297 2031 Total out migration: 2,270 2030 Total out migration: 2,242 2029 Total out migration: 2,213 2028 Total out migration: 2,182 2027 Total out migration: 2,151 2026 Total out migration: 2,123 2025 Total out migration: 2,095 2024 Total out migration: 2,068 2023 Total out migration: 2,041 2022 Total out migration: 2,013 2021 Total out migration: 1,987 2020 Total out migration: 1,964 2019 Total out migration: 1,944 2018 Total out migration: 1,920 2017 Total out migration: 1,896 2036 Total in migration: 2,941 2035 Total in migration: 2,884 2034 Total in migration: 2,861 2033 Total in migration: 2,813 2032 Total in migration: 2,784 2031 Total in migration: 2,734 2030 Total in migration: 2,721 2029 Total in migration: 2,693 2028 Total in migration: 2,669 2027 Total in migration: 2,625 2026 Total in migration: 2,574 2025 Total in migration: 2,540 2024 Total in migration: 2,509 2023 Total in migration: 2,461 2022 Total in migration: 2,439 2021 Total in migration: 2,379 2020 Total in migration: 2,338 2019 Total in migration: 2,328 2018 Total in migration: 2,314 2017 Total in migration: 2,297 2036 Total net migration: 528 2035 Total net migration: 500 2034 Total net migration: 507 2033 Total net migration: 487 2032 Total net migration: 487 2031 Total net migration: 465 2030 Total net migration: 480 2029 Total net migration: 480 2028 Total net migration: 487 2027 Total net migration: 474 2026 Total net migration: 451 2025 Total net migration: 445 2024 Total net migration: 442 2023 Total net migration: 420 2022 Total net migration: 426 2021 Total net migration: 391 2020 Total net migration: 374 2019 Total net migration: 385 2018 Total net migration: 393 2017 Total net migration: 400 2036 Total out migration: 2,413 2035 Total out migration: 2,384 2034 Total out migration: 2,354 2033 Total out migration: 2,326 2032 Total out migration: 2,297 2031 Total out migration: 2,270 2030 Total out migration: 2,242 2029 Total out migration: 2,213 2028 Total out migration: 2,182 2027 Total out migration: 2,151 2026 Total out migration: 2,123 2025 Total out migration: 2,095 2024 Total out migration: 2,068 2023 Total out migration: 2,041 2022 Total out migration: 2,013 2021 Total out migration: 1,987 2020 Total out migration: 1,964 2019 Total out migration: 1,944 2018 Total out migration: 1,920 2017 Total out migration: 1,896 2036 Total in migration: 2,941 2035 Total in migration: 2,884 2034 Total in migration: 2,861 2033 Total in migration: 2,813 2032 Total in migration: 2,784 2031 Total in migration: 2,734 2030 Total in migration: 2,721 2029 Total in migration: 2,693 2028 Total in migration: 2,669 2027 Total in migration: 2,625 2026 Total in migration: 2,574 2025 Total in migration: 2,540 2024 Total in migration: 2,509 2023 Total in migration: 2,461 2022 Total in migration: 2,439 2021 Total in migration: 2,379 2020 Total in migration: 2,338 2019 Total in migration: 2,328 2018 Total in migration: 2,314 2017 Total in migration: 2,297
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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