Alexandrina CouncilPopulation forecast
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Alexandrina Council

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Alexandrina Council is forecast for the period from 2027 to 2031, which is expected to have a net increase of 2,370 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Alexandrina CouncilForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births1,1721,2261,2911,3791,476
Deaths1,1171,2451,3981,5851,754
Natural increase/decrease55-19-107-205-278
Net migration1,2831,8622,3852,5152,572
Change in persons in non-private dwellings64260600

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2014.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 480 2035 forecast population change: 458 2034 forecast population change: 462 2033 forecast population change: 443 2032 forecast population change: 453 2031 forecast population change: 437 2030 forecast population change: 447 2029 forecast population change: 471 2028 forecast population change: 474 2027 forecast population change: 541 2026 forecast population change: 452 2025 forecast population change: 467 2024 forecast population change: 474 2023 forecast population change: 444 2022 forecast population change: 442 2021 forecast population change: 410 2020 forecast population change: 382 2019 forecast population change: 350 2018 forecast population change: 350 2017 forecast population change: 377 2016 forecast population change: 360 2015 forecast population change: 248 2014 forecast population change: 218 2013 forecast population change: 269 2012 forecast population change: 306
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2014.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: -59 2035 Natural increase: -57 2034 Natural increase: -56 2033 Natural increase: -54 2032 Natural increase: -52 2031 Natural increase: -48 2030 Natural increase: -45 2029 Natural increase: -41 2028 Natural increase: -37 2027 Natural increase: -34 2026 Natural increase: -29 2025 Natural increase: -25 2024 Natural increase: -21 2023 Natural increase: -17 2022 Natural increase: -14 2021 Natural increase: -11 2020 Natural increase: -8 2019 Natural increase: -4 2018 Natural increase: 0 2017 Natural increase: 3 2016 Natural increase: 5 2015 Natural increase: 8 2014 Natural increase: 9 2013 Natural increase: 25 2012 Natural increase: 7 2036 Total births: 303 2035 Total births: 299 2034 Total births: 295 2033 Total births: 291 2032 Total births: 287 2031 Total births: 284 2030 Total births: 280 2029 Total births: 276 2028 Total births: 272 2027 Total births: 268 2026 Total births: 264 2025 Total births: 261 2024 Total births: 258 2023 Total births: 255 2022 Total births: 252 2021 Total births: 250 2020 Total births: 248 2019 Total births: 245 2018 Total births: 243 2017 Total births: 240 2016 Total births: 237 2015 Total births: 236 2014 Total births: 235 2013 Total births: 244 2012 Total births: 220 2036 Total deaths: 362 2035 Total deaths: 357 2034 Total deaths: 351 2033 Total deaths: 345 2032 Total deaths: 339 2031 Total deaths: 332 2030 Total deaths: 325 2029 Total deaths: 317 2028 Total deaths: 309 2027 Total deaths: 301 2026 Total deaths: 293 2025 Total deaths: 286 2024 Total deaths: 279 2023 Total deaths: 272 2022 Total deaths: 267 2021 Total deaths: 261 2020 Total deaths: 255 2019 Total deaths: 249 2018 Total deaths: 243 2017 Total deaths: 237 2016 Total deaths: 232 2015 Total deaths: 228 2014 Total deaths: 225 2013 Total deaths: 219 2012 Total deaths: 213 2036 Natural increase: -59 2035 Natural increase: -57 2034 Natural increase: -56 2033 Natural increase: -54 2032 Natural increase: -52 2031 Natural increase: -48 2030 Natural increase: -45 2029 Natural increase: -41 2028 Natural increase: -37 2027 Natural increase: -34 2026 Natural increase: -29 2025 Natural increase: -25 2024 Natural increase: -21 2023 Natural increase: -17 2022 Natural increase: -14 2021 Natural increase: -11 2020 Natural increase: -8 2019 Natural increase: -4 2018 Natural increase: 0 2017 Natural increase: 3 2016 Natural increase: 5 2015 Natural increase: 8 2014 Natural increase: 9 2013 Natural increase: 25 2012 Natural increase: 7 2036 Total births: 303 2035 Total births: 299 2034 Total births: 295 2033 Total births: 291 2032 Total births: 287 2031 Total births: 284 2030 Total births: 280 2029 Total births: 276 2028 Total births: 272 2027 Total births: 268 2026 Total births: 264 2025 Total births: 261 2024 Total births: 258 2023 Total births: 255 2022 Total births: 252 2021 Total births: 250 2020 Total births: 248 2019 Total births: 245 2018 Total births: 243 2017 Total births: 240 2016 Total births: 237 2015 Total births: 236 2014 Total births: 235 2013 Total births: 244 2012 Total births: 220 2036 Total deaths: 362 2035 Total deaths: 357 2034 Total deaths: 351 2033 Total deaths: 345 2032 Total deaths: 339 2031 Total deaths: 332 2030 Total deaths: 325 2029 Total deaths: 317 2028 Total deaths: 309 2027 Total deaths: 301 2026 Total deaths: 293 2025 Total deaths: 286 2024 Total deaths: 279 2023 Total deaths: 272 2022 Total deaths: 267 2021 Total deaths: 261 2020 Total deaths: 255 2019 Total deaths: 249 2018 Total deaths: 243 2017 Total deaths: 237 2016 Total deaths: 232 2015 Total deaths: 228 2014 Total deaths: 225 2013 Total deaths: 219 2012 Total deaths: 213
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2014.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: 539 2035 Total net migration: 515 2034 Total net migration: 518 2033 Total net migration: 496 2032 Total net migration: 505 2031 Total net migration: 485 2030 Total net migration: 492 2029 Total net migration: 512 2028 Total net migration: 512 2027 Total net migration: 515 2026 Total net migration: 481 2025 Total net migration: 491 2024 Total net migration: 496 2023 Total net migration: 462 2022 Total net migration: 456 2021 Total net migration: 421 2020 Total net migration: 390 2019 Total net migration: 354 2018 Total net migration: 349 2017 Total net migration: 348 2016 Total net migration: 290 2015 Total net migration: 240 2014 Total net migration: 208 2013 Total net migration: 245 2012 Total net migration: 299 2036 Total out migration: 2,386 2035 Total out migration: 2,355 2034 Total out migration: 2,323 2033 Total out migration: 2,292 2032 Total out migration: 2,261 2031 Total out migration: 2,231 2030 Total out migration: 2,200 2029 Total out migration: 2,167 2028 Total out migration: 2,133 2027 Total out migration: 2,098 2026 Total out migration: 2,067 2025 Total out migration: 2,033 2024 Total out migration: 2,001 2023 Total out migration: 1,971 2022 Total out migration: 1,938 2021 Total out migration: 1,911 2020 Total out migration: 1,887 2019 Total out migration: 1,867 2018 Total out migration: 1,846 2017 Total out migration: 1,825 2016 Total out migration: 1,810 2015 Total out migration: 1,797 2014 Total out migration: 1,795 2013 Total out migration: 1,777 2012 Total out migration: 1,792 2036 Total in migration: 2,924 2035 Total in migration: 2,870 2034 Total in migration: 2,840 2033 Total in migration: 2,789 2032 Total in migration: 2,765 2031 Total in migration: 2,716 2030 Total in migration: 2,692 2029 Total in migration: 2,679 2028 Total in migration: 2,645 2027 Total in migration: 2,612 2026 Total in migration: 2,547 2025 Total in migration: 2,525 2024 Total in migration: 2,497 2023 Total in migration: 2,433 2022 Total in migration: 2,394 2021 Total in migration: 2,333 2020 Total in migration: 2,276 2019 Total in migration: 2,221 2018 Total in migration: 2,195 2017 Total in migration: 2,173 2016 Total in migration: 2,100 2015 Total in migration: 2,037 2014 Total in migration: 2,003 2013 Total in migration: 2,021 2012 Total in migration: 2,091 2036 Total net migration: 539 2035 Total net migration: 515 2034 Total net migration: 518 2033 Total net migration: 496 2032 Total net migration: 505 2031 Total net migration: 485 2030 Total net migration: 492 2029 Total net migration: 512 2028 Total net migration: 512 2027 Total net migration: 515 2026 Total net migration: 481 2025 Total net migration: 491 2024 Total net migration: 496 2023 Total net migration: 462 2022 Total net migration: 456 2021 Total net migration: 421 2020 Total net migration: 390 2019 Total net migration: 354 2018 Total net migration: 349 2017 Total net migration: 348 2016 Total net migration: 290 2015 Total net migration: 240 2014 Total net migration: 208 2013 Total net migration: 245 2012 Total net migration: 299 2036 Total out migration: 2,386 2035 Total out migration: 2,355 2034 Total out migration: 2,323 2033 Total out migration: 2,292 2032 Total out migration: 2,261 2031 Total out migration: 2,231 2030 Total out migration: 2,200 2029 Total out migration: 2,167 2028 Total out migration: 2,133 2027 Total out migration: 2,098 2026 Total out migration: 2,067 2025 Total out migration: 2,033 2024 Total out migration: 2,001 2023 Total out migration: 1,971 2022 Total out migration: 1,938 2021 Total out migration: 1,911 2020 Total out migration: 1,887 2019 Total out migration: 1,867 2018 Total out migration: 1,846 2017 Total out migration: 1,825 2016 Total out migration: 1,810 2015 Total out migration: 1,797 2014 Total out migration: 1,795 2013 Total out migration: 1,777 2012 Total out migration: 1,792 2036 Total in migration: 2,924 2035 Total in migration: 2,870 2034 Total in migration: 2,840 2033 Total in migration: 2,789 2032 Total in migration: 2,765 2031 Total in migration: 2,716 2030 Total in migration: 2,692 2029 Total in migration: 2,679 2028 Total in migration: 2,645 2027 Total in migration: 2,612 2026 Total in migration: 2,547 2025 Total in migration: 2,525 2024 Total in migration: 2,497 2023 Total in migration: 2,433 2022 Total in migration: 2,394 2021 Total in migration: 2,333 2020 Total in migration: 2,276 2019 Total in migration: 2,221 2018 Total in migration: 2,195 2017 Total in migration: 2,173 2016 Total in migration: 2,100 2015 Total in migration: 2,037 2014 Total in migration: 2,003 2013 Total in migration: 2,021 2012 Total in migration: 2,091
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2014.
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