City of AdelaidePopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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City of Adelaide

Components of population change

The greatest population change for the City of Adelaide is forecast for the period from 2017 to 2021, which is expected to have a net increase of 4,616 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
City of AdelaideForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births--9341,1231,2601,375
Deaths--555627710793
Natural increase/decrease--379496550581
Net migration--4,1182,9102,2592,237
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--120225225225

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, September 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 616 2035 forecast population change: 612 2034 forecast population change: 615 2033 forecast population change: 612 2032 forecast population change: 588 2031 forecast population change: 592 2030 forecast population change: 586 2029 forecast population change: 590 2028 forecast population change: 632 2027 forecast population change: 635 2026 forecast population change: 623 2025 forecast population change: 682 2024 forecast population change: 840 2023 forecast population change: 685 2022 forecast population change: 802 2021 forecast population change: 719 2020 forecast population change: 959 2019 forecast population change: 881 2018 forecast population change: 1,390 2017 forecast population change: 667
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: 119 2035 Natural increase: 118 2034 Natural increase: 116 2033 Natural increase: 115 2032 Natural increase: 114 2031 Natural increase: 113 2030 Natural increase: 111 2029 Natural increase: 110 2028 Natural increase: 109 2027 Natural increase: 107 2026 Natural increase: 105 2025 Natural increase: 103 2024 Natural increase: 99 2023 Natural increase: 97 2022 Natural increase: 93 2021 Natural increase: 88 2020 Natural increase: 82 2019 Natural increase: 77 2018 Natural increase: 70 2017 Natural increase: 62 2036 Total deaths: 165 2035 Total deaths: 162 2034 Total deaths: 159 2033 Total deaths: 155 2032 Total deaths: 152 2031 Total deaths: 148 2030 Total deaths: 145 2029 Total deaths: 142 2028 Total deaths: 139 2027 Total deaths: 136 2026 Total deaths: 132 2025 Total deaths: 129 2024 Total deaths: 125 2023 Total deaths: 122 2022 Total deaths: 118 2021 Total deaths: 116 2020 Total deaths: 113 2019 Total deaths: 110 2018 Total deaths: 107 2017 Total deaths: 109 2036 Total births: 284 2035 Total births: 280 2034 Total births: 275 2033 Total births: 270 2032 Total births: 266 2031 Total births: 261 2030 Total births: 257 2029 Total births: 252 2028 Total births: 247 2027 Total births: 242 2026 Total births: 237 2025 Total births: 232 2024 Total births: 225 2023 Total births: 218 2022 Total births: 211 2021 Total births: 204 2020 Total births: 195 2019 Total births: 187 2018 Total births: 177 2017 Total births: 171 2036 Natural increase: 119 2035 Natural increase: 118 2034 Natural increase: 116 2033 Natural increase: 115 2032 Natural increase: 114 2031 Natural increase: 113 2030 Natural increase: 111 2029 Natural increase: 110 2028 Natural increase: 109 2027 Natural increase: 107 2026 Natural increase: 105 2025 Natural increase: 103 2024 Natural increase: 99 2023 Natural increase: 97 2022 Natural increase: 93 2021 Natural increase: 88 2020 Natural increase: 82 2019 Natural increase: 77 2018 Natural increase: 70 2017 Natural increase: 62 2036 Total deaths: 165 2035 Total deaths: 162 2034 Total deaths: 159 2033 Total deaths: 155 2032 Total deaths: 152 2031 Total deaths: 148 2030 Total deaths: 145 2029 Total deaths: 142 2028 Total deaths: 139 2027 Total deaths: 136 2026 Total deaths: 132 2025 Total deaths: 129 2024 Total deaths: 125 2023 Total deaths: 122 2022 Total deaths: 118 2021 Total deaths: 116 2020 Total deaths: 113 2019 Total deaths: 110 2018 Total deaths: 107 2017 Total deaths: 109 2036 Total births: 284 2035 Total births: 280 2034 Total births: 275 2033 Total births: 270 2032 Total births: 266 2031 Total births: 261 2030 Total births: 257 2029 Total births: 252 2028 Total births: 247 2027 Total births: 242 2026 Total births: 237 2025 Total births: 232 2024 Total births: 225 2023 Total births: 218 2022 Total births: 211 2021 Total births: 204 2020 Total births: 195 2019 Total births: 187 2018 Total births: 177 2017 Total births: 171
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: 452 2035 Total net migration: 449 2034 Total net migration: 453 2033 Total net migration: 452 2032 Total net migration: 430 2031 Total net migration: 434 2030 Total net migration: 429 2029 Total net migration: 434 2028 Total net migration: 478 2027 Total net migration: 483 2026 Total net migration: 473 2025 Total net migration: 534 2024 Total net migration: 695 2023 Total net migration: 544 2022 Total net migration: 664 2021 Total net migration: 601 2020 Total net migration: 847 2019 Total net migration: 774 2018 Total net migration: 1,290 2017 Total net migration: 605 2036 Total out migration: 3,443 2035 Total out migration: 3,384 2034 Total out migration: 3,326 2033 Total out migration: 3,267 2032 Total out migration: 3,210 2031 Total out migration: 3,152 2030 Total out migration: 3,092 2029 Total out migration: 3,035 2028 Total out migration: 2,971 2027 Total out migration: 2,909 2026 Total out migration: 2,843 2025 Total out migration: 2,773 2024 Total out migration: 2,687 2023 Total out migration: 2,620 2022 Total out migration: 2,544 2021 Total out migration: 2,470 2020 Total out migration: 2,370 2019 Total out migration: 2,268 2018 Total out migration: 2,122 2017 Total out migration: 2,049 2036 Total in migration: 3,895 2035 Total in migration: 3,833 2034 Total in migration: 3,779 2033 Total in migration: 3,720 2032 Total in migration: 3,640 2031 Total in migration: 3,586 2030 Total in migration: 3,522 2029 Total in migration: 3,469 2028 Total in migration: 3,449 2027 Total in migration: 3,391 2026 Total in migration: 3,316 2025 Total in migration: 3,307 2024 Total in migration: 3,382 2023 Total in migration: 3,164 2022 Total in migration: 3,208 2021 Total in migration: 3,071 2020 Total in migration: 3,217 2019 Total in migration: 3,043 2018 Total in migration: 3,412 2017 Total in migration: 2,654 2036 Total net migration: 452 2035 Total net migration: 449 2034 Total net migration: 453 2033 Total net migration: 452 2032 Total net migration: 430 2031 Total net migration: 434 2030 Total net migration: 429 2029 Total net migration: 434 2028 Total net migration: 478 2027 Total net migration: 483 2026 Total net migration: 473 2025 Total net migration: 534 2024 Total net migration: 695 2023 Total net migration: 544 2022 Total net migration: 664 2021 Total net migration: 601 2020 Total net migration: 847 2019 Total net migration: 774 2018 Total net migration: 1,290 2017 Total net migration: 605 2036 Total out migration: 3,443 2035 Total out migration: 3,384 2034 Total out migration: 3,326 2033 Total out migration: 3,267 2032 Total out migration: 3,210 2031 Total out migration: 3,152 2030 Total out migration: 3,092 2029 Total out migration: 3,035 2028 Total out migration: 2,971 2027 Total out migration: 2,909 2026 Total out migration: 2,843 2025 Total out migration: 2,773 2024 Total out migration: 2,687 2023 Total out migration: 2,620 2022 Total out migration: 2,544 2021 Total out migration: 2,470 2020 Total out migration: 2,370 2019 Total out migration: 2,268 2018 Total out migration: 2,122 2017 Total out migration: 2,049 2036 Total in migration: 3,895 2035 Total in migration: 3,833 2034 Total in migration: 3,779 2033 Total in migration: 3,720 2032 Total in migration: 3,640 2031 Total in migration: 3,586 2030 Total in migration: 3,522 2029 Total in migration: 3,469 2028 Total in migration: 3,449 2027 Total in migration: 3,391 2026 Total in migration: 3,316 2025 Total in migration: 3,307 2024 Total in migration: 3,382 2023 Total in migration: 3,164 2022 Total in migration: 3,208 2021 Total in migration: 3,071 2020 Total in migration: 3,217 2019 Total in migration: 3,043 2018 Total in migration: 3,412 2017 Total in migration: 2,654
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2017.
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