City of AdelaidePopulation forecast
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City of Adelaide

Components of population change

The greatest population change for the City of Adelaide is forecast for the period from 2017 to 2021, which is expected to have a net increase of 4,513 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
City of AdelaideForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births8079911,1661,3031,436
Deaths486555637725813
Natural increase/decrease321436529578623
Net migration2,3143,9583,0952,2952,250
Change in persons in non-private dwellings11120225225225

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, July 2015.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 625 2035 forecast population change: 622 2034 forecast population change: 620 2033 forecast population change: 619 2032 forecast population change: 611 2031 forecast population change: 608 2030 forecast population change: 602 2029 forecast population change: 602 2028 forecast population change: 638 2027 forecast population change: 647 2026 forecast population change: 640 2025 forecast population change: 664 2024 forecast population change: 827 2023 forecast population change: 835 2022 forecast population change: 883 2021 forecast population change: 829 2020 forecast population change: 899 2019 forecast population change: 883 2018 forecast population change: 913 2017 forecast population change: 990 2016 forecast population change: 1,173 2015 forecast population change: 197 2014 forecast population change: 238 2013 forecast population change: 714 2012 forecast population change: 324
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2015.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: 128 2035 Natural increase: 126 2034 Natural increase: 125 2033 Natural increase: 123 2032 Natural increase: 121 2031 Natural increase: 119 2030 Natural increase: 117 2029 Natural increase: 116 2028 Natural increase: 114 2027 Natural increase: 112 2026 Natural increase: 110 2025 Natural increase: 108 2024 Natural increase: 106 2023 Natural increase: 104 2022 Natural increase: 101 2021 Natural increase: 97 2020 Natural increase: 93 2019 Natural increase: 88 2018 Natural increase: 82 2017 Natural increase: 76 2016 Natural increase: 69 2015 Natural increase: 64 2014 Natural increase: 60 2013 Natural increase: 55 2012 Natural increase: 73 2036 Total births: 297 2035 Total births: 292 2034 Total births: 287 2033 Total births: 282 2032 Total births: 277 2031 Total births: 271 2030 Total births: 266 2029 Total births: 261 2028 Total births: 255 2027 Total births: 250 2026 Total births: 245 2025 Total births: 240 2024 Total births: 234 2023 Total births: 227 2022 Total births: 221 2021 Total births: 214 2020 Total births: 206 2019 Total births: 198 2018 Total births: 190 2017 Total births: 183 2016 Total births: 173 2015 Total births: 169 2014 Total births: 164 2013 Total births: 157 2012 Total births: 144 2036 Total deaths: 169 2035 Total deaths: 166 2034 Total deaths: 163 2033 Total deaths: 159 2032 Total deaths: 156 2031 Total deaths: 152 2030 Total deaths: 149 2029 Total deaths: 145 2028 Total deaths: 142 2027 Total deaths: 138 2026 Total deaths: 135 2025 Total deaths: 131 2024 Total deaths: 128 2023 Total deaths: 124 2022 Total deaths: 120 2021 Total deaths: 116 2020 Total deaths: 113 2019 Total deaths: 110 2018 Total deaths: 108 2017 Total deaths: 107 2016 Total deaths: 104 2015 Total deaths: 105 2014 Total deaths: 104 2013 Total deaths: 102 2012 Total deaths: 71 2036 Natural increase: 128 2035 Natural increase: 126 2034 Natural increase: 125 2033 Natural increase: 123 2032 Natural increase: 121 2031 Natural increase: 119 2030 Natural increase: 117 2029 Natural increase: 116 2028 Natural increase: 114 2027 Natural increase: 112 2026 Natural increase: 110 2025 Natural increase: 108 2024 Natural increase: 106 2023 Natural increase: 104 2022 Natural increase: 101 2021 Natural increase: 97 2020 Natural increase: 93 2019 Natural increase: 88 2018 Natural increase: 82 2017 Natural increase: 76 2016 Natural increase: 69 2015 Natural increase: 64 2014 Natural increase: 60 2013 Natural increase: 55 2012 Natural increase: 73 2036 Total births: 297 2035 Total births: 292 2034 Total births: 287 2033 Total births: 282 2032 Total births: 277 2031 Total births: 271 2030 Total births: 266 2029 Total births: 261 2028 Total births: 255 2027 Total births: 250 2026 Total births: 245 2025 Total births: 240 2024 Total births: 234 2023 Total births: 227 2022 Total births: 221 2021 Total births: 214 2020 Total births: 206 2019 Total births: 198 2018 Total births: 190 2017 Total births: 183 2016 Total births: 173 2015 Total births: 169 2014 Total births: 164 2013 Total births: 157 2012 Total births: 144 2036 Total deaths: 169 2035 Total deaths: 166 2034 Total deaths: 163 2033 Total deaths: 159 2032 Total deaths: 156 2031 Total deaths: 152 2030 Total deaths: 149 2029 Total deaths: 145 2028 Total deaths: 142 2027 Total deaths: 138 2026 Total deaths: 135 2025 Total deaths: 131 2024 Total deaths: 128 2023 Total deaths: 124 2022 Total deaths: 120 2021 Total deaths: 116 2020 Total deaths: 113 2019 Total deaths: 110 2018 Total deaths: 108 2017 Total deaths: 107 2016 Total deaths: 104 2015 Total deaths: 105 2014 Total deaths: 104 2013 Total deaths: 102 2012 Total deaths: 71
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2015.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: 452 2035 Total net migration: 450 2034 Total net migration: 451 2033 Total net migration: 451 2032 Total net migration: 446 2031 Total net migration: 444 2030 Total net migration: 440 2029 Total net migration: 442 2028 Total net migration: 479 2027 Total net migration: 490 2026 Total net migration: 485 2025 Total net migration: 510 2024 Total net migration: 676 2023 Total net migration: 687 2022 Total net migration: 737 2021 Total net migration: 701 2020 Total net migration: 777 2019 Total net migration: 765 2018 Total net migration: 801 2017 Total net migration: 914 2016 Total net migration: 1,104 2015 Total net migration: 122 2014 Total net migration: 178 2013 Total net migration: 659 2012 Total net migration: 251 2036 Total out migration: 3,578 2035 Total out migration: 3,517 2034 Total out migration: 3,456 2033 Total out migration: 3,396 2032 Total out migration: 3,337 2031 Total out migration: 3,278 2030 Total out migration: 3,219 2029 Total out migration: 3,159 2028 Total out migration: 3,095 2027 Total out migration: 3,032 2026 Total out migration: 2,967 2025 Total out migration: 2,898 2024 Total out migration: 2,814 2023 Total out migration: 2,727 2022 Total out migration: 2,640 2021 Total out migration: 2,550 2020 Total out migration: 2,453 2019 Total out migration: 2,359 2018 Total out migration: 2,261 2017 Total out migration: 2,157 2016 Total out migration: 2,041 2015 Total out migration: 2,025 2014 Total out migration: 2,014 2013 Total out migration: 1,928 2012 Total out migration: 1,921 2036 Total in migration: 4,031 2035 Total in migration: 3,967 2034 Total in migration: 3,907 2033 Total in migration: 3,846 2032 Total in migration: 3,782 2031 Total in migration: 3,722 2030 Total in migration: 3,658 2029 Total in migration: 3,601 2028 Total in migration: 3,575 2027 Total in migration: 3,523 2026 Total in migration: 3,452 2025 Total in migration: 3,409 2024 Total in migration: 3,489 2023 Total in migration: 3,413 2022 Total in migration: 3,377 2021 Total in migration: 3,251 2020 Total in migration: 3,229 2019 Total in migration: 3,124 2018 Total in migration: 3,061 2017 Total in migration: 3,071 2016 Total in migration: 3,145 2015 Total in migration: 2,147 2014 Total in migration: 2,192 2013 Total in migration: 2,586 2012 Total in migration: 2,172 2036 Total net migration: 452 2035 Total net migration: 450 2034 Total net migration: 451 2033 Total net migration: 451 2032 Total net migration: 446 2031 Total net migration: 444 2030 Total net migration: 440 2029 Total net migration: 442 2028 Total net migration: 479 2027 Total net migration: 490 2026 Total net migration: 485 2025 Total net migration: 510 2024 Total net migration: 676 2023 Total net migration: 687 2022 Total net migration: 737 2021 Total net migration: 701 2020 Total net migration: 777 2019 Total net migration: 765 2018 Total net migration: 801 2017 Total net migration: 914 2016 Total net migration: 1,104 2015 Total net migration: 122 2014 Total net migration: 178 2013 Total net migration: 659 2012 Total net migration: 251 2036 Total out migration: 3,578 2035 Total out migration: 3,517 2034 Total out migration: 3,456 2033 Total out migration: 3,396 2032 Total out migration: 3,337 2031 Total out migration: 3,278 2030 Total out migration: 3,219 2029 Total out migration: 3,159 2028 Total out migration: 3,095 2027 Total out migration: 3,032 2026 Total out migration: 2,967 2025 Total out migration: 2,898 2024 Total out migration: 2,814 2023 Total out migration: 2,727 2022 Total out migration: 2,640 2021 Total out migration: 2,550 2020 Total out migration: 2,453 2019 Total out migration: 2,359 2018 Total out migration: 2,261 2017 Total out migration: 2,157 2016 Total out migration: 2,041 2015 Total out migration: 2,025 2014 Total out migration: 2,014 2013 Total out migration: 1,928 2012 Total out migration: 1,921 2036 Total in migration: 4,031 2035 Total in migration: 3,967 2034 Total in migration: 3,907 2033 Total in migration: 3,846 2032 Total in migration: 3,782 2031 Total in migration: 3,722 2030 Total in migration: 3,658 2029 Total in migration: 3,601 2028 Total in migration: 3,575 2027 Total in migration: 3,523 2026 Total in migration: 3,452 2025 Total in migration: 3,409 2024 Total in migration: 3,489 2023 Total in migration: 3,413 2022 Total in migration: 3,377 2021 Total in migration: 3,251 2020 Total in migration: 3,229 2019 Total in migration: 3,124 2018 Total in migration: 3,061 2017 Total in migration: 3,071 2016 Total in migration: 3,145 2015 Total in migration: 2,147 2014 Total in migration: 2,192 2013 Total in migration: 2,586 2012 Total in migration: 2,172
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2015.
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