What are the key results?

Summary

This summary analyses data for the period 2001 to 2016, as the short to medium term is most appropriate for planning purposes. Please note that this data is available for all years between 2001 and 2021.

Southern Grampians Shire is located along the Great South Coast in Victoria’s South-West, with the largest centre at Hamilton, about 270 kilometres from Melbourne. In 2001, the total population of the Shire was estimated at 17,133. It is expected to increase to 18,395 by 2016, at an average annual growth rate of 0.47%. This is based on an increase of more than 958 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.41 to 2.27.

 
Forecast POPULATION
Southern Grampians Shire
Forecast yearChange between
2001 and 2021
(Area)200120162021numberaverage annual
% change
Southern Grampians Shire17,13318,39518,8291,696Stable* from 2001 to 20210.5
Coleraine - Rural West2,1152,1032,096-19Stable* from 2001 to 20210.0
Hamilton (East)3,4064,1694,4281,022Increase from 2001 to 20211.3
Hamilton (North)4,3014,5564,654353Stable* from 2001 to 20210.4
Hamilton (West)2,7792,7942,81031Stable* from 2001 to 20210.1
Rural East2,4942,7512,826332Increase from 2001 to 20210.6
Rural North2,0382,0222,015-23Stable* from 2001 to 2021-0.1
Hamilton (Total)10,48611,51911,8921,406Increase from 2001 to 20210.6

Stable symbolstable* from previous yeargrowth symbolincrease from previous yearDecline symboldecrease from previous year
* stable refers to between +/- 0.5% change

Hamilton is expected to grow significantly over the period, most notably in the Hamilton (East) small area. Minor declines are expected in the Coleraine - Rural West and Rural North areas. The forecast population growth rates are lower than household growth as a result of the decreasing number of people per household. This is a pattern that is likely to affect all areas of the Shire during this period.

 
Forecast Households
Southern Grampians Shire
Forecast yearChange between
2001 and 2021
(Area)200120162021numberaverage annual % change
Southern Grampians Shire6,8767,8348,0901,214Increase from 2001 to 20210.8
Coleraine - Rural West86289189432Stable* from 2001 to 20210.2
Hamilton (East)1,3641,7241,844480Increase from 2001 to 20211.5
Hamilton (North)1,7832,0262,088305Increase from 2001 to 20210.8
Hamilton (West)1,1241,2331,258134Increase from 2001 to 20210.6
Rural East9871,1921,236249Increase from 2001 to 20211.1
Rural North75676877014Stable* from 2001 to 20210.1
Hamilton (Total)4,2714,9835,190919Increase from 2001 to 20211.0

Stable symbolstable* from previous yeargrowth symbolincrease from previous yearDecline symboldecrease from previous year
* stable refers to between +/- 0.5% change