Rural West is a predominantly rural area located in the far west of the Shire. Rural West includes the township of Macarthur, the villages of Hawkesdale and Woolsthorpe and the rural localities of Bessiebelle (part), Breakaway Creek (part), Broadwater, Byaduk (part), Codrington, Condah Swamp (part), Gazette (part), Gerrigerrup, Knebsworth, Minhamite, Orford, Penshurst (part), St Helens, Tarrone, Tyrendarra (part), Tyrendarra East, Wallacedale (part), Warrabkook, Warrnambool (part), Willatook and Yambuk.
What are our assumptions?
Fertility rates: The current fertility rate in Rural West is higher than Moyne Shire. It is assumed to rise from 2.19 in 2001 to 2.44 in 2006 to match historical births, before gradually decreasing to 2.37 by 2021. This is based on a decreased rate of birth in younger ages (15-29 years) and a minor increase in older age groups (31+ years).
Death rates: The death rates are based on historical estimates for Moyne Shire, which have been extrapolated into the future, assuming an increase in expectation of life in all age groups (except 85+). Although women are still forecast to outlive men, the increase in the expectation of life over time for men is expected to be higher compared to women.
Non-private dwellings: The number of persons in non-private dwellings is forecast to remain stable at 26 between 2001 and 2021. There were no major non-private dwellings of note in the area as of 2001.
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- Moyne Shire
- Koroit & District
- Mortlake & District
- Port Fairy & District
- Rural East
- Rural West