What are the key results?

Summary

This summary analyses data for the period 2001 to 2016, as the short to medium term is most appropriate for planning purposes. Please note that this data is available for all years between 2001 and 2021.

Moyne Shire is located in south-western Victoria, about 250 kilometres from Melbourne. In 2001, the total population was estimated at 15,763. It is expected to increase to 17,093 by 2016, at an average annual growth rate of 0.54%. This is based on an increase of over 1,040 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.64 to 2.42.

 
Forecast POPULATION
Moyne Shire
Forecast yearChange between
2001 and 2021
(Area)200120162021numberaverage annual
% change
Moyne Shire15,76316,93917,4521,689Stable* from 2001 to 20210.5
Koroit & District3,5814,3074,544963Increase from 2001 to 20211.2
Mortlake & District3,7713,7223,734-37Stable* from 2001 to 20210.0
Port Fairy & District3,0873,7113,945858Increase from 2001 to 20211.2
Rural East2,6882,6842,74860Stable* from 2001 to 20210.1
Rural West2,6362,5152,481-155Stable* from 2001 to 2021-0.3

Stable symbolstable* from previous yeargrowth symbolincrease from previous yearDecline symboldecrease from previous year
* stable refers to between +/- 0.5% change

Most small areas in Moyne Shire are expected to increase in population to 2016, with the largest gains expected in Koroit & District followed by Port Fairy & District. The population increases are based on household growth, which in turn relates to new residential opportunities as well as increases in occupancy of dwellings. Areas expected to experience a decrease in population over the period include Mortlake & District and Rural West. The forecast population growth rates are lower than household growth as a result of the decreasing number of people per household. This is a pattern that is likely to affect all areas of Moyne Shire during this period.

 
Forecast Households
Moyne Shire
Forecast yearChange between
2001 and 2021
(Area)200120162021numberaverage annual % change
Moyne Shire5,8696,8707,1541,285Increase from 2001 to 20211.0
Koroit & District1,2151,6761,806591Increase from 2001 to 20212.0
Mortlake & District1,4451,5541,577132Stable* from 2001 to 20210.4
Port Fairy & District1,2771,6241,727450Increase from 2001 to 20211.5
Rural East9561,0341,068112Increase from 2001 to 20210.6
Rural West9769829760Stable* from 2001 to 20210.0

Stable symbolstable* from previous yeargrowth symbolincrease from previous yearDecline symboldecrease from previous year
* stable refers to between +/- 0.5% change