Moyne Shire is located in south-western Victoria, about 250 kilometres from Melbourne. Moyne Shire is bounded by Southern Grampians Shire and Ararat Rural City in the north, Corangamite Shire in the east, Warrnambool City and the Southern Ocean in the south and Glenelg Shire in the west. Major centres include Port Fairy, Mortlake and Koroit.
What are our assumptions?
Fertility rates:The forecast number of births in Moyne Shire is a reflection on the fertility rates assumed for the individual small areas. The overall rate is expected to rise in the short term from 2.11 in 2001 to 2.22 by 2016 before gradually decreasing to 2.20 by 2021, although there is expected to be lower rates of births in younger ages and marginally higher rates in older ages. This pattern is consistent with trends occurring across Australia.
Death rates:The forecast number of deaths in Moyne Shire is a reflection on the death rates assumed for small areas. These rates are based on historical estimates for Moyne Shire, which have been extrapolated into the future, assuming an increase in expectation of life in all age groups (except 85+). Although women are still forecast to outlive men, the increase in the expectation of life over time for men is expected to be higher compared to women.
Non-private dwellings: The number of people living in non-private dwellings in Moyne Shire was estimated at 292 in 2001. A significant share of the non-private dwellings in the LGA are related to aged care facilities such as hostels and nursing homes. It is assumed there is continued expansion of these services in the LGA with the number of persons in non-private dwellings increasing to 317 in 2011, 342 in 2016 and 367 by 2021.
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- Moyne Shire
- Koroit & District
- Mortlake & District
- Port Fairy & District
- Rural East
- Rural West